The Denver Pioneers (2-3) challenge the Fairfield Stags (1-5) at KeyArena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.
Fairfield Stags vs. Denver Pioneers ATS Prediction
The last time the Stags played, they were beaten by the Seattle Redhawks, 83-80. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Seattle’s biggest advantages. They made 43 trips to the line, while Fairfield went just 20 times. Neftali Alvarez led Fairfield in scoring with 16 points on 7-for-15 shooting.
The Pioneers edged the Longwood Lancers in their last matchup, 64-62. Denver had an effective field goal percentage of 0.588 (above their season average of 0.488). Longwood, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (7-7; 100.0 percent). Ronnie Harrell Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 7-for-13 shooting from the field.
Fairfield comes into the contest with records of 1-5 straight up (SU) and 1-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Stags’ 5 games that accepted bets, three have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Denver owns records of 2-3 SU and 1-3 ATS. Coinciding with Fairfield, Pioneers games also have typically gone under the total (75.0 percent).
The elite offense of Denver will battle against the mid-tier defense of Fairfield. Since the 2017-18 season, the Pioneers offense ranks 90th in effective field goal percentage (0.531), while the Fairfield defense ranks 303rd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.530). The Pioneers should have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Stags rank 312th in offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 percent), while the Pioneers rank 26th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.6 percent).
Fairfield Stags vs. Denver Pioneers Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Denver, ATS Winner – Fairfield, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Fairfield ranks 26th in three pointers attempted per game (26.4) while Denver ranks 305th in three pointers allowed per game (25.1).
The Pioneers rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game (31.5) while the Stags rank 281st (37.8).
Fairfield ranks 138th in steals per game (6.3) while Denver ranks 286th (4.3).
The Pioneers rank 31st in assists allowed per game (11.1) while the Stags rank 120th (12.8).
Fairfield ranks 214th in blocks per game (2.7) while Denver ranks 235th (2.5).
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