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Morgan State Bears vs. George Mason Patriots ATS Preview 11/28/18

Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports

The George Mason Patriots (2-5) meet the Morgan State Bears (2-3) at EagleBank Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.

Morgan State Bears at George Mason Patriots Free Prediction

The Bears come in on a high note after topping the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers in their last matchup, 78-68. Morgan State’s 16.3 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Mount St. Mary’s, who had a rate of 26.8. The Bears’ mark was worse than their season average of 14.3, while the Mountaineers’ was above their season average of 19.2. Morgan State was led by Victor Curry, who put up 10 points and eight rebounds.

In the Patriots’ last outing, they lost to the Baylor Bears, 72-61. Baylor’s 33.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over George Mason, who had a rate of 22.6. The Bears’ mark was below their season average of 37.9, while the Patriots’ was below their season average of 28.4. Otis Livingston II put together a good game for George Mason, leading the team in scoring with 26 points on 8-for-18 shooting.

The Patriots won the lone contest against the Bears last season, 86-79. George Mason did a great job of getting and making free throws (24-28; 85.7 percent). Morgan State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.5 vs. 26.9).

It could be a sloppy game for the George Mason offense. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, George Mason ranks 194th in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 18.9 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Morgan State has forced the 48th-most turnovers in the NCAA (21.2 percent).

Morgan State Bears at George Mason Patriots Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – George Mason, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

Morgan State ranks 53rd in steals per game (7.3) while George Mason ranks 200th in steals allowed per game (6.6).

The Patriots average 35.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 148th in the nation. The Bears rank 276th in rebounds allowed per game (37.4).

George Mason ranks 216th in three pointers attempted per game (20.9) while Morgan State ranks 328th (15.8).

The Patriots rank 156th in assists allowed per game (13.2) while the Bears rank 242nd (14.4).

Morgan State ranks 206th in blocks per game (2.8) while George Mason ranks 240th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).

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Written by GMS Previews

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