The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (4-1) go head-to-head against the Valparaiso Crusaders (3-3) at the Thomas & Mack Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Valparaiso Crusaders vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels ATS Prediction
The Crusaders are hoping for a better outcome after their 88-76 loss to the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last outing. West Virginia’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Valparaiso. The Mountaineers had a rate of 8.6 (better than their season average of 20.4), while the Crusaders posted a mark of 18.8 (above the 14.3 mark opponents have averaged against West Virginia this season). Derrik Smits led Valparaiso in scoring with 20 points on 9-for-12 shooting.
In the Runnin’ Rebels’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 76-71. Getting to the free throw line was one of UNLV’s largest strengths. They made 43 trips to the line, while Southern Utah went just 16 times. With 11 points and 16 rebounds, Shakur Juiston played well for UNLV.
The physical UNLV offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Runnin’ Rebels rank 12th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.303, while Valparaiso ranks 325th in FTA rate allowed (0.288) dating back to last season.
Valparaiso Crusaders vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Unlv, ATS Winner – UNLV, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
UNLV ranks 10th in rebounds per game (40.6) while Valparaiso ranks 200th (34.8).
The Runnin’ Rebels rank 33rd in assists per game (15.9) while the Crusaders rank 203rd (13.1).
Valparaiso averages 7.1 steals per game, which ranks 67th in the NCAA. UNLV ranks 215th in steals allowed per game (6.7).
The Runnin’ Rebels rank 40th in blocks per game (4.5) while the Crusaders rank 164th (3.2).
Valparaiso ranks 34th in three pointers allowed per game (19.2) while UNLV ranks 111th (20.9).
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