The Sacramento Kings (10-10) will have their hands full against the league’s top shooting defense when they take on the Los Angeles Clippers (14-6) at Golden 1 Center. The game gets underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 235.5 points with Los Angeles opening as a 2.5-point favorite.
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings Free Prediction
In the Clippers’ last matchup, they comfortably covered the 4-point spread against the Phoenix Suns, 115-99. The game’s combined points (214) finished under the O/U total of 227.5. The Clippers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.4, had a phenomenal mark of 40.0, while the Suns had a free throw rate of 0.146 (below their season average of 0.183). Los Angeles received a boost from Danilo Gallinari, who was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 7-for-10 shooting.
The Kings lost big to the Utah Jazz in their last outing, 133-112. They were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (245) finished well over the projected point total of 219. Utah out-rebounded Sacramento. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 29) and total rebounds (49 vs. 36). Sacramento’s Harry Giles finished with 10 points, eight rebounds and six assists in the game.
Los Angeles should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Clippers rank sixth in offensive efficiency, while Sacramento ranks 20th in defensive efficiency.
Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 14-6 straight up (SU) and 12-7 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Clippers tend to go over the total (63.2 percent).
Meanwhile, Sacramento owns records of 10-10 SU and 12-8 ATS. Kings games also have typically gone over the O/U total (65.0 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Montrezl Harrell (19 points,10.2 rebounds,1.6 steals,1.6 blocks) has been stellar for the Clippers while Marvin Bagley III (14 points,9.0 rebounds,1.2 blocks) has made great contributions to the Kings.
After the Clippers won all four games against the Kings last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent game, Los Angeles won 126-105. The Clippers knocked down 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.634 vs. 0.541).
Clippers at Kings Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 5-5 ATS on the road with 6 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 6-3 ATS with 6 unders and 3 overs.
Los Angeles and Sacramento are both 3-0 when they allow below 100 points.
The Clippers are 14-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 9-9.
Sacramento ranks third in points off turnovers per game (20.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (14.5).
The Clippers rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while the Kings rank last (36.0).
Los Angeles averages 52.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
The Clippers rank ninth in rebounds per game (47.3) while the Kings rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.8).
Sacramento ranks 12th in steals per game (8.3) while Los Angeles ranks last (5.8).
The Kings rank 1 in fast break points per game (22) while the Clippers rank 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.05).
Los Angeles averages 13.15 second chance points per game, which ranks 16 in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 25 in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
The Clippers average 5.55 blocks per game, which ranks 12 in the NBA. The Kings rank 19 in blocks allowed per game (5.55).
Sacramento averages 24.7 assists per game, which ranks 8 in the league. Los Angeles ranks 9 in assists allowed per game (22.9).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 5.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.0 points per game (4.3 above their season average).
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