The Dayton Flyers (4-2) square off against the No. 25 Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-1) at University of Dayton Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Dayton Flyers Free Prediction
The Bulldogs come in on a high note after dismantling the Alcorn State Braves in their last game, 88-65. Mississippi State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Alcorn State. The Bulldogs had a rate of 0.713 (above their season average of 0.498), while the Braves posted a mark of 0.432. Reggie Perry led the way for Mississippi State, contributing 16 points and 11 rebounds.
In the Flyers’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Oklahoma Sooners, 65-54. Converting at the free throw line was one of Oklahoma’s biggest advantages. They were 17-21 (81.0 percent), while the Flyers were just 10-15 (66.7 percent). With 12 points and 10 rebounds, Trey Landers put together a solid performance for Dayton.
The Bulldogs won the lone contest against the Flyers last season, 61-59. Mississippi State had a better turnover percentage (31.1 vs. 32.9). Dayton, meanwhile, had a much better free throw rate (0.196 vs. 0.080).
This battle pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Dayton ranks 30th in effective field goal percentage (0.551) and Mississippi State is 45th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.476) since last season.
Mississippi State at Dayton Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mississippi State, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Mississippi State ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.3) while Dayton ranks 244th (2.5).
The Bulldogs rank 87th in steals per game (6.9) while the Flyers rank 271st (5.1).
Mississippi State ranks 124th in rebounds per game (36.3) while Dayton ranks 302nd (31.9).
The Bulldogs rank 55th in assists allowed per game (11.8) while the Flyers rank 225th (14.2).
Dayton ranks 130th in three pointers attempted per game (22.8) while Mississippi State ranks 167th in three pointers allowed per game (21.8).
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