The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-5) meet the Evansville Aces (4-3) at the Convocation Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.
Evansville Aces vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves ATS Prediction
In the Aces’ last matchup, they beat the Albion Britons, 65-49. The Aces had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.5 vs. 6.8) and had a much better free throw rate (0.259 vs. 0.085). Dainius Chatkevicius had a good outing for Evansville, putting up 11 points and nine rebounds.
The Red Wolves fell to the Lehigh Mountain Hawks in their last contest, 82-70. Lehigh’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Arkansas State. The Mountain Hawks had a rate of 0.623 (above their season average of 0.523), while the Red Wolves posted a mark of 0.373 (below their season average of 0.520). With 30 points on 9-for-21 shooting, Ty Cockfield II was the top scorer from either team.
Arkansas State might have a tough time putting up points as they battle against one of the nation’s best defenses. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Evansville ranks 44th in defensive efficiency while the Red Wolves rank 189th in offensive efficiency.
The Aces won the only game against the Red Wolves last season, 77-63. The Aces knocked down 24 of their 31 free throws (77.4 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.520 vs. 0.425).
Evansville Aces vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Free Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Evansville, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Arkansas State ranks 51st in three pointers allowed per game (19.8) while Evansville ranks 225th (23.1).
The Red Wolves average 6.7 steals per game, which ranks 104th in the country. The Aces rank 242nd in steals allowed per game (7.0).
Evansville ranks 112th in assists allowed per game (12.7) while Arkansas State ranks 244th (14.5).
The Red Wolves average 3.2 blocks per game, which ranks 165th in the nation. The Aces rank 208th in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
Arkansas State ranks 251st in rebounds per game (34.1) while Evansville ranks 273rd (33.6).
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