Hoping to extend their undefeated record, the No. 2 Baylor Bears (7-0) travel to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (3-4). The country’s fifth-leading receiver, Corey Coleman (962 yards, 18 TDs), will be featured in this game for Baylor. It will air Thursday, Nov 5 at 7:30 p.m. ET on FS1.
In its last game before the bye, Kansas State lost to Texas 23-9. Dominique Heath had a quality performance in the loss, grabbing two receptions for 23 yards and one TD. Charles Jones also had a great game with 122 rushing yards on 18 carries. Baylor is hoping for another victory like its game before the bye, when it defeated Iowa State 45-27. Shock Linwood had a huge game running the ball for the Bears, rushing 27 times for 171 yards and one TD. Corey Coleman had a great game as well, adding 85 receiving yards and two TDs on six catches.
The Bears are favored by 18 points against the Wildcats this week and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available.
With a 3-4 record both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS), the Wildcats will look to improve as they head into Week 10. In their five most recent matchups, the Wildcats went 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. The Wildcats average 14.1 yards each time they throw, 17th in the nation. On average, the Bears earn 9.4 flags each game, one of the worst rates in the nation. Such errors could be beneficial for the Wildcats if they persist into this week’s game.
As for their opponent, the Bears head into Week 10 with records of 4-3 ATS and 7-0 SU. Chances are Baylor will continue to rely on its passing attack, where its 347.9 passing yards per game ranks 10th in the nation. Moving on to the Baylor defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Wildcats. The Bears’ secondary will be looking to pad their stats when they face off against the Wildcats, who rank 122nd in terms of completion percentage with an average of only 45.6%. Teams need to stay focused in the first quarter against the fast-starting Bears, who average a Division I-leading 21.7 points in the first 15 minutes. When Baylor’s offense hits the field, they like to pick up the pace. With an average of 81.4, the team ranks ninth in the country for number of plays per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor
Notes
Kansas State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
Kansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 5 games.
Kansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Kansas State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas State’s last 7 games at home.
Kansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 6 games when playing Baylor.
Baylor is 7-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Kansas State is 2-2 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Kansas State is winless (0-2 SU) in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, and an even 1-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
Since the beginning of last year, Baylor is 12-1 SU against Big 12 opponents, while Kansas State is 7-6 SU against in-conference foes.
According to overall FBS team rankings, Baylor is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its third-ranked rushing attack will face the 47th-ranked run defense of Kansas State, while its 50th-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 89th-ranked running game of the Wildcats.
