This game looks like a low-scoring affair as the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) meet the Florida Gators (7-1). The game will begin Saturday, Nov 7 at 12:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESPN.
Florida blew out Georgia 27-3 last week. Antonio Callaway had a big game in the win, totaling three receptions for 110 yards and one TD. Kelvin Taylor also had a big day, contributing 121 rushing yards and two TDs on 25 attempts. Vanderbilt didn’t have the same success as Florida, getting blown out by Houston 34-0. Latevius Rayford had a solid outing for the Commodores, totaling three receptions for 37 yards.
Florida is a substantial 19-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable.
The Gators enter the game with records of 7-1 Straight Up (SU) and 6-2 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In the past five games, Florida is 4-1 for both SU and ATS. The Commodores might have a difficult time running the ball against the 15th-best run defense in the nation. The Gators give up 111.6 rushing yards per game. One of the keys to the game will be whether the Commodores can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Gators, who rank fourth in the nation with 2.4 turnovers per game.
Across the field, the Commodores have 3-5 SU and 4-3-1 ATS records this season. In the previous five games, Vanderbilt has a record of 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. Vanderbilt’s 18th-ranked run defense has given its competition fits. Opponents have only run for 115 yards per game against this intimidating bunch. The Commodores need to capitalize on opportunities against the porous pass protection of Florida, which ranks 105th in the country in sacks allowed with 2.8 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida
Notes
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida’s last 6 games.
Florida is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida’s last 12 games at home.
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt.
Florida is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Vanderbilt.
Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt.
Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt.
Vanderbilt is 2-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Florida is 6-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Dating back to last season, Florida is 9-5 SU against SEC opponents, while Vanderbilt is just 1-11 SU against conference foes.
