The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-7) are seeking to put an end to a six-game losing streak as they take on the Troy Trojans (2-6). The SBC’s third-leading passer, Garrett Smith (1,756 yards, 15 TDs), will be featured in this game. It starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov 7 and will be available on ESP3.
In last week’s matchup, Troy got nipped by Appalachian State 44-41. Teddy Ruben had a huge game in the loss, pulling in nine receptions for 83 yards and one TD. Brandon Silvers also had a great game with 265 yards and a TD through the air. Louisiana-Monroe also fell short, losing to Louisiana-Lafayette 30-24. Marcus Green had a great game for the Warhawks, grabbing eight receptions for 96 yards and one TD. Ajalen Holley had a great game as well, adding 98 receiving yards and a TD on six catches.
Troy is a five-point favorite against the Warhawks.
Even with a subpar Straight Up (SU) record of 2-6, the Trojans played better than expected, going 5-3 Against The Spread (ATS) so far this year. In their five most recent matchups, the Trojans went 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS. Expect the Trojans defense to restrict Louisiana-Monroe’s passing attack. The Trojans have the 25th-ranked pass defense in the nation and give up only 185 passing yards per game. A strong pass rush will help the Trojans win this game. That may not be too difficult with the Warhawks ranking 105th in sacks allowed with 2.8 per game.
As for their opponent, the Warhawks head into Week 10 with records of 3-4-1 ATS and 1-7 SU. Over their last five games, the Warhawks have a SU record of 0-5 and a 1-3-1 record ATS for those betting with them. Louisiana-Monroe’s game plan centers around passing the football. The Warhawks pass 37.6 times per game. Over the last five games, the Warhawks turned it up on defense, only allowing an average of 217.6 passing yards per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Troy, ATS Winner – Troy
Notes
Troy is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Troy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Troy’s last 18 games at home.
Troy is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe.
Troy is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe.
Troy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe.
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-1 SU when leading at the half this season. Troy is 2-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-6 SU) in games where it wins the turnover battle, and an even 1-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Troy passing attack is ranked only 73rd in the country, while the Louisiana-Monroe pass defense is ranked 32nd. The Warhawks passing game is ranked just 69th, compared to the 25th-ranked pass defense of the Trojans.
