Two high-powered offenses will dictate this one as the California Golden Bears (5-3) take on the Oregon Ducks (5-3). The Pac-12’s leading rusher, Royce Freeman (1,109 yards, 11 TDs), and the second-leading passer, Jared Goff (2,537 yards, 22 TDs), will be featured in this game. Oregon will look to keep up its recent momentum after winning three of its last four. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov 7 and will be available on ESP2.
In last week’s matchup, Oregon defeated Arizona State 61-55. Royce Freeman had a huge game running the ball in the victory, rushing 15 times for 112 yards and two TDs. Darren Carrington had a great game as well, adding 107 receiving yards and a TD on five catches. California is hoping for a different outcome after losing to USC 27-21. Bryce Treggs had a great game for the Golden Bears, pulling in four receptions for 85 yards and one TD.
The Golden Bears are a seven-point underdog against the Ducks and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is currently not available.
Sitting at 5-3 Straight Up (SU) and 4-4 Against The Spread (ATS), the Ducks will look to improve heading into Week 10. In their five most recent matchups, the Ducks went 3-2 for both SU and ATS. A focal point of Oregon’s offense is the running game, which ranks sixth in the country with 283.5 rushing yards per game. Turning to the Ducks defense, there are several areas to keep an eye on. There will be plenty of opportunities for the Ducks to steal the ball from California. The Golden Bears currently rank 119th in turnovers given up with 2.4 per game. In the first quarter, Oregon is tough to stop, putting up 9.9 points in the first 15 minutes. Oregon’s special teams squad has some playmakers. Topping the nation, they average 158.8 return yards per game.
Over on the other sideline, the Golden Bears head into Week 10 with records of 4-4 ATS and 5-3 SU. Over their last five games, the Golden Bears have a SU and ATS record of 2-3 for those betting with them. Chances are California will continue to rely on its passing attack, where its 337.4 passing yards per game ranks 12th in the nation. Moving on to the California defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of as well. The Ducks will need to be mindful of California’s ability to take the ball away. The Golden Bears defense averages 2.8 turnovers per game, the most of any team in the country. The Ducks will have to stay focused in the third quarter against California. The Golden Bears usually start off the second half with dominance, averaging 12.1 points during the third quarter. California has been good at avoiding penalties this season. The team only receives 4.5 per game on average, the ninth-fewest in the country.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – California
Notes
Oregon is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon’s last 6 games.
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Oregon is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon’s last 6 games at home.
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing California.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon’s last 8 games when playing California.
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against California.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon’s last 5 games when playing at home against California.
California is 3-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Oregon is 4-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, California is winless (0-2) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 4-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
California is an even 2-2 SU this season when allowing at least 3.0 sacks in a game. The Oregon defense is currently averaging 3.2 sacks over the last five games.
Since the start of last year, Oregon is 12-3 SU against Pac-12 opponents, while California is just 5-9 SU against conference foes.
The Oregon ground attack is ranked sixth in the country, compared to the 64th-ranked rush defense of California.
