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UNCG Spartans at VMI Keydets Odds Preview 01/05/19

Dec 5, 2018; Blacksburg, VA, USA; Virginia Military Institute Keydets guard Garrett Gilkeson (2) looks to pass against the Virginia Tech Hokies in the second half at Cassell Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Michael Shroyer-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between SoCon opponents when the VMI Keydets (6-8, 0-2 SoCon) welcome the UNCG Spartans (13-2, 2-0 SoCon) to Cameron Hall. The game gets underway at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.

UNCG Spartans at VMI Keydets Betting Prediction

The last time the Spartans played, they defeated the North Carolina A&T Aggies, 74-66. UNCG’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over North Carolina A&T. The Spartans had a rate of 54.3, while the Aggies posted a mark of 41.0. With 23 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Francis Alonso was the top scorer from either team.

The Keydets won big over the Washington College Shoremen in their last contest, 89-56. The Keydets had a much better free throw rate (0.235 vs. 0.081) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.537 vs. 0.338). With 11 points and 10 assists, Greg Parham had a good outing for VMI.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball security could play an integral role in this showdown. VMI commits the 40th-fewest miscues in the country (turnover percentage of 16.4 percent), while the gambling defense of UNCG forces the 11th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 24.9 percent). Also, the Spartans rank 38th in offensive efficiency (114.8), while the Keydets rank 269th in defensive efficiency (105.5).

Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Alonso (0 points) has been great for the Spartans while Bubba Parham (0 points) has contributed greatly to the Keydets.

After the Spartans won both matchups against the Keydets last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, UNCG won 73-51. The Spartans had a much better turnover percentage (14.6 vs. 31.4) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.6 vs. 14.3).

UNCG Spartans at VMI Keydets Odds Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – VMI, ATS Winner – VMI, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

VMI ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (29.3) while UNCG ranks 138th (22.5).

Bettings Trends:

The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.8, up from 14.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Keydets have scored an average of 80.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.6 points per game (7.9 below their season average).

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