The Arkansas Razorbacks (10-3, 1-0 SEC) look to prolong their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Florida Gators (8-5, 0-1 SEC) at Bud Walton Arena. The game will air on SEC Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 9, 2019.
Florida Gators vs. Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Prediction
The Gators are trying to rebound after their 81-60 loss to the No. 17 Florida State Seminoles in their last game. Getting to the free throw line was one of Florida State’s largest strengths. They made 34 trips to the line, while Florida went 21 times. Jalen Hudson put together a solid performance for Florida, contributing 11 points.
In the Razorbacks’ last game, they lost a tight one to the Texas Longhorns, 73-71. One of Texas’ biggest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 30 free throw attempts, while Arkansas had 24. Arkansas’ Daniel Gafford put together a solid game, leading both teams in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. The Razorbacks won the most recent contest 80-72. The Razorbacks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.2 vs. 21.6) and had a much better free throw rate (0.267 vs. 0.150).
Gafford and Isaiah Joe have played at a high level over the last five games for Arkansas. Gafford has averaged 0 points per game. Not to be outdone, Joe has put up 0 points a game during that span.
It will be a showdown of opposite paces as the up-tempo Razorbacks will look to push the slower-paced Gators. The Razorbacks currently rank 29th in possessions per game while the Gators are 330th.
Florida Gators vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Florida ranks 79th in three pointers attempted per game (24.8) while Arkansas ranks 233rd in three pointers allowed per game (26.5).
The Gators rank 94th in rebounds allowed per game (34.0) while the Razorbacks rank 245th (39.8).
Arkansas ranks 14th in assists per game (17.9) while Florida ranks 135th (13.5).
The Razorbacks rank 34th in steals per game (8.3) while the Gators rank 71st in steals allowed per game (6.0).
Both of these teams are great at blocking the ball. Arkansas is seventh in the nation with 5.9 blocks per game while Florida is 37th with 4.6 blocks per game.
Bettings Trends:
The Gators’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 10.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Razorbacks have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (4.1 below their season average).
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