The Golden State Warriors (5-0) are off to a hot start and will try to remain undefeated when they compete against the Denver Nuggets (2-3) at ORACLE Arena. Action starts at 10:30 pm ET on Friday, Nov. 6 and can be seen on ALT and GS2.
The Warriors beat the Clippers 112-108 on Wednesday. Stephen Curry was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points on 8-for-17 shooting. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are coming off a 96-84 loss against the Jazz on Thursday. Danilo Gallinari had a team-high 18 points.
The Warriors are a big 14-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 214 points. The Warriors have gone 5-0 Straight Up (SU) and 4-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS against teams from the Western Conference. The Warriors have no trouble scoring as they lead the league in offense with 117.6 points per game. Golden State is excellent from the perimeter with 56 three-pointers made (11.0 per game), the second-most in the league. Golden State is the best passing team in the league with an average of 28.2 assists per game. The Warriors have really locked down opponents, ranking first in the league with a .401 opponent field-goal percentage. The Warriors are the fifth-best team in the league at blocking shots, averaging 6.6 blocks per game. Something to watch out for is if Golden State can force its opponents into turnovers and convert them into baskets. They’ve done an excellent job of that all year with an average of 20.2 points off turnovers per game.
As for their opponent, the Nuggets head into the game with records of 2-3 both ATS and SU. Denver has records of 2-3 SU and ATS against the West.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between the conference foes. Their previous game was a Warriors victory, moving their SU record against the Nuggets to 6-4 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Furthermore, the Warriors lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS, O/U – Under
Notes
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Golden State’s last 23 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State’s last 13 games at home.
Golden State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 6 games when playing Denver.
Golden State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Golden State’s last 23 games when playing at home against Denver.
Denver ranks 24th in points per game with 96.0, while Golden State ranks eighth in points allowed with an average of 96.8 given up.
Denver puts up 106.0 points per away game, ranking sixth in the league. Golden State allows just 90.7 points per home game (ranked third).
In games where Golden State gives up at least 100 points, the Warriors are undefeated (2-0). The Nuggets are also undefeated in games in which they hit the century mark (2-0).
The Warriors have the league’s top offensive rating (114.2). The Nuggets have a defensive rating of 102.3 (ranked 21st).
The Golden State Warriors average 103.0 possessions and 1.142 points per possession in games this season. The Denver Nuggets average fewer possessions with 97.9, as well as fewer points per possession with .980.
Golden State is ranked first in the NBA with an average effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. Denver has not won a game this season when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage (0-1).
The Golden State Warriors top the league in assist to turnover ratio this season with an A/TO of 2.20. The Denver Nuggets have an A/TO of 1.43 (ranked 15th).
The Golden State Warriors are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 49.6 rebounds per game (ranked third). The Denver Nuggets rank 12th, rebounding 45.8 times each game.
Golden State is the top-ranked team in terms of defensive rebounds. On the other side, Denver is a very strong team when it comes to offensive rebounding, ranked fourth.
The Nuggets’ opponents have had an average turnover percentage of 14.7% this season. The Golden State Warriors are undefeated this season (1-0) when their TOV% is 14.7% or higher.