The Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-8, 2-1 SBC) welcome the Troy Trojans (8-7, 1-2 SBC) to Convocation Center as they look to lengthen their six-game home winning streak. The game starts at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves ATS Prediction
The last time the Trojans played, they were defeated by the Little Rock Trojans, 73-59. Little Rock’s 15.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Troy, who had a rate of 28.2. Jordon Varnado was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
The Red Wolves won a close one over the South Alabama Jaguars in their last matchup, 66-65. The Red Wolves knocked down 20 of their 26 free throws (76.9 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 32.8). Ty Cockfield II led Arkansas State in scoring with 22 points on 5-for-16 shooting from the field.
Arkansas State does a solid job at getting to the charity stripe. They rank 47th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.282), but Troy is among the best in the nation at keeping opponents off the line (ranking 59th by allowing a FTA rate of 0.191).
After the Trojans won the lone game against the Red Wolves last season, 89-83, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Trojans knocked down 17 of their 24 free throws (70.8 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.590 vs. 0.461).
Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas State averages 21.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 175th in the country. Troy ranks 190th in three pointers allowed per game (24.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Trojans have been outscored by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Troy has defeated opponents by an average of 3.1 points.
During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 75.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
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