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Alcorn State Braves vs. Jackson State Tigers Betting Preview 01/12/19

John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

The Alcorn State Braves (4-10, 0-2 SWAC) will try to end their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Jackson State Tigers (4-11, 1-1 SWAC) at Williams Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.

Alcorn State Braves vs. Jackson State Tigers Betting Prediction

The last time the Braves played, they were defeated by the Prairie View A&M Panthers, 57-54. Prairie View A&M’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Alcorn State. The Panthers had a rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.226), while the Braves posted a mark of 0.204 (below the 0.331 mark opponents have averaged against Prairie View A&M this season). Reginal Johnson was Alcorn State’s high scorer with 12 points on 2-for-5 shooting.

The Tigers lost a close one to the Alabama State Hornets in their last outing, 59-57. Getting to the free throw line was one of Alabama State’s biggest strengths. They had 33 free throw attempts, while Jackson State had 18. Jackson State’s Jayveous McKinnis finished with five points and 13 rebounds in the game.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the Jackson State offense. Jackson State ranks 304th in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 21.5 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Alcorn State forces the 55th-most turnovers in the nation (22.5 percent).

After the Tigers won both matchups against the Braves last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last game, Jackson State won 60-57. Jackson State had a much better turnover percentage (12.3 vs. 21.6). Alcorn State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.4 vs. 23.3).

Alcorn State Braves at Jackson State Tigers ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Jackson State, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Alcorn State ranks 19th in steals per game (8.9) while Jackson State ranks 161st in steals allowed per game (7.7).

The Braves rank 102nd in three pointers attempted per game (23.8) while the Tigers rank 228th (18.9).

Alcorn State ranks 45th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Jackson State ranks 142nd (4.5).

The Tigers average 36.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 110th in the country. The Braves rank 170th in rebounds allowed per game (36.4).

Bettings Trends:

The Braves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 3.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 60.2 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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