The New Mexico State Aggies (12-4, 1-1 WAC) will try to prolong their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Bakersfield Roadrunners (11-5, 3-0 WAC) at Pan American Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Bakersfield Roadrunners at New Mexico State Aggies Free Prediction
In the Roadrunners’ last game, they topped the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, 75-69. The Roadrunners held the Vaqueros to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below their season average of 28.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.431 (below the 0.527 mark opponents have averaged against Bakersfield this season). James Suber was a key piece for Bakersfield with 13 points and 11 rebounds.
The Aggies edged the Grand Canyon Antelopes in their last matchup, 77-75. New Mexico State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Grand Canyon. The Aggies had a rate of 0.575 (above their season average of 0.512), while the Antelopes posted a mark of 0.542. Ivan Aurrecoechea was the game’s top scorer with 20 points on 10-for-14 shooting from the field.
After the Aggies won both contests against the Roadrunners last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent game, New Mexico State won 69-43. The Aggies had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.9 vs. 25.5) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.418 vs. 0.273).
Based on each team’s statistical profile, ball security could play a key role in this meeting. New Mexico State commits the 50th-fewest miscues in the country (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Bakersfield forces the 34th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.3 percent). Furthermore, the Roadrunners are among the nation’s elite on the offensive backboards, ranking ninth in offensive rebounding percentage (38.4 percent). The Aggies, however, rank eighth at grabbing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 77.6 percent.
Bakersfield at New Mexico State Odds Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – New Mexico State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New Mexico State ranks 24th in three pointers attempted per game (27.9) while Bakersfield ranks 156th (22.1).
The Aggies rank third in assists allowed per game (8.9) while the Roadrunners rank 97th (12.7).
New Mexico State ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (30.3) while Bakersfield ranks 38th (31.9).
The Aggies are 13th in the NCAA with 4.7 steals allowed per game while the Roadrunners are 31st with 5.2 steals allowed per game.
Bakersfield ranks eighth in blocks allowed per game (2.0) while New Mexico State ranks 26th (2.4).
Bettings Trends:
The Roadrunners have been outscored by an average of 2.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Bakersfield has defeated opponents by an average of 2.4 points.
During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 75.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average).
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