It will be a battle between Pac-12 opponents when the Oregon Ducks (9-6, 0-2 Pac-12) welcome the USC Trojans (9-7, 2-1 Pac-12) to Matthew Knight Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 13, 2019, and will air on ESPNU.
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducks ATS Prediction
In the Trojans’ last contest, they were defeated by the Oregon State Beavers, 79-74. Oregon State’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over USC. The Beavers had a rate of 0.286 (above their season average of 0.234), while the Trojans posted a mark of 0.136 (below their season average of 0.213). Bennie Boatwright was the top scorer from either team with 37 points on 14-for-24 shooting.
The Ducks lost a tough one against the UCLA Bruins in their last matchup, 87-84. One of UCLA’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 30 trips to the line, while Oregon went 24 times. Louis King had a good performance for Oregon, leading both teams in scoring with 22 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
After the Trojans won all three matchups against the Ducks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, USC won 74-54. The Trojans knocked down 12 of their 14 free throws (85.7 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.7 vs. 23.1).
Boatwright has averaged 18 points,7.2 rebounds,3.2 assists over the last five games for USC.
Oregon appears to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Ducks rank 41st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462), while USC is 151st in effective field goal percentage (0.523). It will also be a matchup of conflicting styles as the quick-paced Trojans rank 55th in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Ducks rank 281st.
USC at Oregon Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
USC ranks 39th in assists per game (16.3) while Oregon ranks 114th (14.1).
The Trojans rank 167th in three pointers allowed per game (23.7) while the Ducks rank 231st (26.3).
Oregon ranks 169th in rebounds per game (35.1) while USC ranks 203rd in rebounds allowed per game (37.3).
The Ducks are 36th in the nation with 2.6 blocks allowed per game while the Trojans are 58th with 2.9 blocks allowed per game.
USC ranks 46th in steals allowed per game (5.4) while Oregon ranks 47th (5.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Trojans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.0, up from 5.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Ducks have scored an average of 67.2 points per game (5.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.0 points per game (1.9 above their season average).
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