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Florida Gators at Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview 01/15/19

Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Offense meets defense when the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-3, 0-2 SEC) welcome the Florida Gators (9-6, 1-2 SEC) to Humphrey Coliseum. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 15, 2019.

Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Prediction

In the Gators’ last game, they were beaten by the No. 3 Tennessee Volunteers, 78-67. Tennessee’s 34.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Florida, who had a rate of 25.7. The Volunteers’ mark was above their season average of 32.8, while the Gators’ was below their season average of 30.8. KeVaughn Allen was Florida’s high scorer with 18 points on 6-for-9 shooting.

The Bulldogs fell to the Ole Miss Rebels in their last contest, 81-77. Ole Miss’ 0.259 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Mississippi State, who had a mark of 0.172. The Rebels’ mark was below their season average of 0.280, while the Bulldogs’ was below their season average of 0.215. With 18 points on 6-for-12 shooting, Quinndary Weatherspoon led Mississippi State in scoring.

The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Mississippi State (28th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 115.2) takes on the top-notch defense of Florida (13th in the country with a defensive efficiency of 91.2).

Noah Locke has averaged 14 points over the last five games for Florida.

After the Gators won the sole game against the Bulldogs last season, 71-54, these teams will clash for the first time this year. The Gators made 12 of their 16 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.9 vs. 27.3).

Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Mississippi State, ATS Winner – Mississippi State, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Mississippi State ranks 41st in assists per game (15.9) while Florida ranks 155th (13.0).

The Bulldogs rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (31.1) while the Gators rank 123rd (34.7).

Mississippi State ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while Florida ranks 80th (6.0).

The Bulldogs rank 18th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Gators rank 59th (4.2).

Mississippi State averages 24.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 82nd in the nation. Florida ranks 106th in three pointers allowed per game (21.8).

Bettings Trends:

The Gators’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 8.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 85.4 points per game (5.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.8 points per game (10.8 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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