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Buffalo Bulls vs. Western Michigan Broncos ATS Preview 01/15/19

Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between MAC opponents when the Western Michigan Broncos (6-10, 0-3 MAC) welcome the No. 19 Buffalo Bulls (15-1, 3-0 MAC) to University Arena in Read Fieldhouse. The game gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 15, 2019.

Buffalo Bulls vs. Western Michigan Broncos Betting Prediction

In the Bulls’ last outing, they blew out the Miami (OH) RedHawks, 88-64. The Bulls had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 4.7 (better than their season average of 13.2) and had a free throw rate of 0.385 (above their season average of 0.197). With 17 points on 5-for-11 shooting, Jeremy Harris was Buffalo’s leading scorer.

The Broncos fell to the Toledo Rockets in their last game, 85-77. Toledo’s 0.633 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Western Michigan, who had a rate of 0.470. The Rockets’ mark was above their season average of 0.534. Michael Flowers had a good game for Western Michigan, leading both teams in scoring with 21 points on 6-for-20 shooting.

After the Bulls won both meetings against the Broncos last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Buffalo won 92-86. Buffalo’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Western Michigan. The Bulls had a rate of 0.672 while the Broncos posted a mark of 0.508.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the Western Michigan offense. Western Michigan ranks 277th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Buffalo forces the 58th-most turnovers in the NCAA (22.3 percent). Furthermore, the Bulls rank 14th in offensive efficiency (117.1), while the Broncos rank 266th in defensive efficiency (105.4).

Buffalo Bulls at Western Michigan Broncos Betting Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Western Michigan, ATS Winner – Western Michigan, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Buffalo ranks 11th in assists per game (17.8) while Western Michigan ranks 175th (12.5).

The Bulls average 28.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 18th in the nation. The Broncos rank 181st in three pointers allowed per game (23.9).

Buffalo ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (4.4) while Western Michigan ranks 160th (7.4).

The Broncos average 37.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 76th in the NCAA. The Bulls rank 221st in rebounds allowed per game (37.8).

Buffalo ranks 29th in blocks per game (4.9) while Western Michigan ranks 165th (2.3).

Bettings Trends:

The Bulls’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.4, down from 16.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 67.4 points per game (5.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.0 points per game (1.0 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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