The Toronto Raptors head to AmericanAirlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat. The game starts at 6:00 pm ET on Sunday, Nov. 8 and will air on SUN and SNT.
The Heat lost a winnable game to the Pacers 90-87 on Friday. Chris Bosh put in a solid effort despite the loss for Miami, recording 21 points and 11 rebounds to earn his third double-double of the season. The Raptors, meanwhile, are coming off a 92-87 loss to the Magic on Friday. DeMar DeRozan had a good shooting night, leading the game with 23 points.
The Heat are favored by a small two-point margin in their matchup against Toronto. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at 198 points. The Heat look to improve upon their records of 3-3 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). The Heat have limited opponents’ efforts from beyond the arc, allowing 6.0 three-pointers made per game. An area where the Heat are particularly strong is shot blocking, where they average 6.7 blocks per game, fourth in the NBA.
Across the court, the Raptors head into the game with records of 5-1 both ATS and SU.
This is the first meeting of the season for the conference rivals. The last time they played Toronto came out on top, but the Heat still lead the head-to-head record, 8-2 SU, over the last 10 matchups. Additionally, with a 6-4 record, the Heat have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Tor, ATS Winner – Tor, O/U – Under
Notes
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games at home.
Miami is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home.
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing Toronto.
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Toronto averages 102.8 points per game (ranked 11th). However, Miami has allowed an average of just 92.8 points per game (ranked fifth).
Toronto ranks 16th in points per away game with 101.2 points, while Miami ranks sixth in points allowed at home with 93.7.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Raptors are 4-1 on the season. When the Heat score fewer than 100, they are a losing 1-3.
In games where Toronto gives up at least 100 points, the Raptors are undefeated (1-0). The Heat are also undefeated in games in which they reaches the century mark (2-0).
The Raptors have an offensive rating of 102.5 (ranked ninth), while the Heat rank eighth for their defensive rating of 96.1.
Miami has an average field goal percentage of 46.3%, ranked sixth in the league. Toronto is undefeated (1-0) when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
Miami attempts an average of 20.0 three pointers per game and Toronto attempts 20.0 per game on average. When the teams attempt at least 25 three pointers, the Heat are winless (0-1) while the Raptors are undefeated (2-0).
Miami has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.40 this season (ranked 15th), while Toronto ranks lower at 29th with an A/TO of 1.15.
The Heat rank 21st in rebounds per game with 43.0, while the Raptors rank sixth with 47.5 per game.
Miami is ranked 13th in defensive rebounds, while Toronto ranks sixth in offensive rebounds.
Toronto is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.6% (ranked ninth). Miami is an even 1-1 SU when it has a TOV% of 15.6% or greater.
