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Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Odds

Northwest Division foes will collide when the Denver Nuggets (2-4) face the Portland Trail Blazers (4-3) at the Pepsi Center. Action begins at 9:00 pm ET on Monday, Nov. 9 and can be seen on ALT and CNW.

The Nuggets are expecting a better outcome after their 119-104 loss to the Warriors on Friday. Danilo Gallinari was the team’s leading scorer with 25 points. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 120-103 loss against the Pistons on Sunday. Portland still lost despite the best efforts of Damian Lillard, who recorded his second double-double of the season with 26 points and 11 assists.

The Nuggets are a slim two-point favorite at home against Portland. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 203 points for this matchup. The Nuggets have gone 2-4 Straight Up (SU) and 3-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS against the Western Conference. Denver will look to take advantage of the Trail Blazers and their propensity to foul. Portland ranks 27th in the league in fouls, averaging 24.3 per game.

Over on the other bench, the Trail Blazers have a record of 4-2 both ATS and SU. Against the Western Conference, Portland is 4-2 SU and ATS. The Trail Blazers convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the league at .478.

The divisional foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their previous head-to-head meeting, Portland came out on top, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 8-2. The Trail Blazers also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4.

Predictions: SU Winner – Den, ATS Winner – Por, O/U – Under

Notes

Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games.

Denver is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home.

Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Portland.

Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland.

Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland.

Denver is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Portland.

Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland.

Portland is a perfect 2-0 SU against division rivals, while the winless Nuggets are 0-3 SU against their foes.

Portland ranks seventh in points per game with 103.7, while Denver ranks 23rd in points allowed with an average of 103.5 given up.

Portland ranks 15th in points per away game with 102.0 points, while Denver ranks eighth in points allowed at home with 95.5.

Portland has a perfect 3-0 record when opponents put up fewer than 100 points. Conversely, Denver has not won a game this season when failing to hit triple digits (0-3).

When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Trail Blazers are just 1-3 this season. Denver is a winning 2-1 when registering triple digits.

The Nuggets have a defensive rating of 103.8 (ranked 22nd), while the Trail Blazers rank seventh for their offensive rating of 104.8.

Portland is among the top-ranked teams based on its average field goal percentage of 47.8% (ranked fourth). Denver has not won a game this season when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage (0-2).

The Denver Nuggets average 23.0 three point attempts per game and have a losing 1-2 record when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Portland Trail Blazers average 28.0 attempts and have a winning 4-2 record when attempting 25 or more.

Denver has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.38 this season (ranked 18th), while Portland ranks lower at 25th with an A/TO of 1.22.

The Nuggets rank 14th in rebounds per game with 45.3, while the Trail Blazers rank 13th with 45.6 per game.

Denver is ranked 16th in defensive rebounds, while Portland ranks 17th in offensive rebounds.

Denver ranks 10th in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.3%. Portland has a 2-3 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.

Written by GMS Previews

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