Offense meets defense when the UNCG Spartans (16-3, 5-1 SoCon) travel to East Tennessee State to take on the Buccaneers (16-4, 6-1 SoCon). The game will air on ESPN 3 at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 19, 2019.
UNCG Spartans at East Tennessee State Buccaneers ATS Prediction
The last time the Spartans played, they defeated the Western Carolina Catamounts, 69-60. The Spartans forced 18 turnovers, while the Catamounts had a free throw rate of 0.176 (below their season average of 0.233). UNCG rallied around Francis Alonso, who was the top scorer from either team with 20 points on 7-for-21 shooting.
The Buccaneers edged the VMI Keydets in their last game, 85-82. East Tennessee State’s 31.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over VMI, who had a mark of 23.5. The Buccaneers’ mark was below their season average of 41.0. With 17 points, East Tennessee State’s Bo Hodges had a solid outing.
After the Spartans won two out of three meetings against the Buccaneers last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, UNCG won 62-47. The Spartans had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.4 vs. 27.0) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.452 vs. 0.337).
It might turn into a high-scoring affair as two of the NCAA’s top offenses clash. East Tennessee State ranks 43rd with 113.4 points per 100 possessions and UNCG is 57th (112.2).
UNCG at East Tennessee State ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – East Tennessee State, ATS Winner – UNCG, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
East Tennessee State ranks fifth in rebounds per game (43.0) while UNCG ranks 222nd (33.7).
The Spartans rank 37th in three pointers allowed per game (19.5) while the Buccaneers rank 189th (24.1).
East Tennessee State ranks 40th in assists per game (15.9) while UNCG ranks 162nd (12.7).
The Spartans rank 14th in steals allowed per game (4.8) while the Buccaneers rank 131st (7.0).
UNCG ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while East Tennessee State ranks 99th (3.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 11.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Buccaneers have scored an average of 86.4 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.0 points per game (6.8 above their season average).
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