It will be a battle between SBC opponents when the Texas State Bobcats (15-3, 4-1 SBC) welcome the Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-10, 2-3 SBC) to Strahan Coliseum. The game is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 19, 2019.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats Betting Prediction
In the Red Wolves’ last contest, they were beaten by the UT Arlington Mavericks, 68-59. One of UT Arlington’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 30 free throw attempts, while Arkansas State had just 14. Ty Cockfield II was Arkansas State’s high scorer with 16 points on 7-for-13 shooting.
The Bobcats easily got past the Little Rock Trojans in their last outing, 80-62. The Bobcats held the Trojans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 7.4 (below their season average of 24.8) and had a free throw rate of 0.426 (above their season average of 0.227). Tre’Larenz Nottingham was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points on 6-for-10 shooting from the field.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Texas State should have a noteworthy advantage. The Bobcats defense ranks 15th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.444), while the Arkansas State offense is ranked 295th in effective field goal percentage (0.479). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Red Wolves. They rank 266th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 20.4 percent), while the Bobcats force the 34th-most turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.0 percent).
After the Bobcats won the sole game against the Red Wolves last season, 73-67, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Bobcats had a better free throw rate (0.208 vs. 0.121) and had a much better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 17.1).
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Texas State Bobcats Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Texas State ranks 23rd in assists per game (16.6) while Arkansas State ranks 208th (11.4).
The Bobcats rank 36th in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while the Red Wolves rank 179th (36.1).
Texas State averages 7.4 steals per game, which ranks 62nd in the country. Arkansas State ranks 109th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
The Red Wolves average 4.1 blocks per game, which ranks 64th in the nation. The Bobcats rank 102nd in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, up from 2.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 71.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.0 points per game (5.2 above their season average).
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