The Oakland Raiders (4-4) battle the Minnesota Vikings (6-2) this week in a game that will feature the NFL’s leading rusher, Adrian Peterson (758 yards, 4 TDs). The game will air Sunday, Nov 15 at 4:05 p.m. ET on FOX.
In last week’s game, Oakland suffered a narrow defeat against the Steelers 38-35. Michael Crabtree had a great game in the loss, grabbing seven receptions for 108 yards and two TDs. Derek Carr also had a great game with 301 yards and four TDs through the air. Minnesota is looking to repeat last week when it edged out the Rams 21-18. Adrian Peterson had a huge game running the ball for the Vikings, dashing 29 times for 125 yards and one TD.
As a slim two-point underdog, the Vikings look to upend the Raiders. The Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available.
Sitting at 4-4 Straight Up (SU) and 5-3 Against The Spread (ATS), the Raiders will look to improve heading into Week 10. In their five most recent matchups, the Raiders went 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. Oakland hopes to take advantage of a Vikings defense that allows 5.2 yards per rush during road games, last in the NFL. Turning to the Raiders defense, there are several areas to keep an eye on. The Raiders have a passing defense in the top half of the league, while the Vikings average 10.0 yards per pass, ranking 30th in the league. In the second quarter, Oakland’s offense is efficient, putting up a league-leading 10.8 points.
Shifting to the opposition, the Vikings head into Week 10 with records of 7-1 ATS and 6-2 SU. Minnesota exceed expectations over its last five games, going 5-0 ATS to go with a 4-1 SU record. Other teams have a high success rate throwing the ball against the Raiders. It might be in Minnesota’s game plan to take advantage of Oakland’s pass defense at home, which ranks 27th in the league in completion percentage allowed at 68.3%. Shifting to the other side of the ball, it might be tough for the Raiders to keep up with Minnesota’s defense in a few areas. Opponents have struggled against Minnesota’s top-ranked pass defense. When the Vikings are on the road, their opponents average 192.5 yards per game through the air against this menacing bunch. The Vikings defense should be able to take away the ball, as the Raiders rank near the bottom of the league in fumbles lost with one per game. Penalties are a common occurrence for Oakland. The Raiders are one of the most penalized teams in the league with 8.4 infractions per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oak, ATS Winner – Min
Notes
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland’s last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games at home.
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home.
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Oakland is 4-1 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Remarkably, Oakland is winless (0-3) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 4-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Minnesota rushing attack is ranked sixth in the league this year, compared to the eighth-ranked run defense of Oakland.