The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets. The game gets underway at 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 11 and will air on ALT and FWi.
The Nuggets were victorious over the Trail Blazers 108-104 on Monday. With 19 points and 13 rebounds, J.J. Hickson recorded his first double-double this season. The Bucks, meanwhile, are coming off a 99-83 loss at the hands of the Celtics on Tuesday. Greg Monroe had a solid game, accumulating his third double-double of the season with 17 points and 14 rebounds.
The Nuggets are favored by a slight two-point margin in their matchup against Milwaukee. The matchup currently has a 203-point Over/Under (O/U). The Nuggets enter the game with records of 3-4 Straight Up (SU) and 4-3 Against The Spread (ATS).
On the other side, the Bucks head into the game with records of 3-5 ATS and 4-4 SU. The Bucks are getting to the foul line at a high rate. Their 160 free throws made ranks fourth in the NBA. Milwaukee makes opponents pay for turning the ball over, ranking fourth in points off turnovers with an average of 20.4 per game.
This is the first meeting of the season for the Nuggets and the Bucks. The last time they played Denver came out on top, moving its SU record against the Bucks to 9-1 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Additionally, the Nuggets lead the matchup ATS with a record of 8-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, ATS Winner – Mil, O/U – Under
Notes
Denver is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games at home.
Denver is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Denver’s last 23 games when playing Milwaukee.
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver’s last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Denver.
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver.
Denver puts up an average of 98.9 points per game (ranked 23rd), while Milwaukee gives up 100.8 points per game (ranked 14th).
Denver ranks 28th in points per home game with 90.0 points, while Milwaukee ranks ninth in points allowed on the road with 98.0.
When Denver allows fewer than 100 points, the team has a losing 1-2 record this season. The Bucks are at 0.500 when they score fewer than 100 (3-3).
When opponents score at least 100 points, Denver has a split 2-2 record. When Milwaukee hits the century mark, it also has an even record (1-1).
The Bucks have a defensive rating of 105.7 (ranked 24th). The Nuggets rank 20th for their offensive rating of 99.2.
Denver averages 99.6 possessions per game, scoring .992 points on each possession. While Milwaukee averages fewer possessions per game with 94.8, the team scores more points per possession with 1.011.
The Denver Nuggets average an effective field goal percentage of 47.5% this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have a losing record of 1-4 when opponents have an EFF% of 47.5% or greater.
Denver has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.39 this season (ranked 19th). Milwaukee ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.51 (ranked 12th).
The Milwaukee Bucks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 38.5 per game. Ranked 12th, the Denver Nuggets average 45.6 rebounds.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank 19th in offensive rebounding, while the Denver Nuggets rank 16th in defensive rebounding.
Milwaukee has forced one of the highest average turnover rates this season with 16.6% (ranked sixth). In games where their turnover rate is 16.6% or higher, Denver is an even 1-1.
