It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the New Mexico Lobos (9-10, 3-4 MWC) welcome the Utah State Aggies (14-5, 4-2 MWC) to Dreamstyle Arena. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 26, 2019.
Utah State Aggies at New Mexico Lobos ATS Prediction
In the Aggies’ last game, they topped the Colorado State Rams, 87-72. Utah State won the rebounding battle. The Aggies had 11 offensive rebounds and 39 total rebounds, while the Rams had six and 24, respectively. Utah State rallied around Neemias Queta, who recorded 18 points and 11 rebounds.
The Lobos lost to the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels in their last game, 74-58. UNLV’s 0.561 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over New Mexico, who had a mark of 0.403. The Runnin’ Rebels’ mark was above their season average of 0.492, while the Lobos’ was below their season average of 0.522. New Mexico’s Carlton Bragg put up 12 points and 12 rebounds in the game.
After the Lobos won two out of three matchups against the Aggies last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, New Mexico won 83-68. The Lobos knocked down 20 of their 25 free throws (80.0 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.583 vs. 0.482).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Queta (13 points,8.6 rebounds,3.0 blocks) has been stellar for the Aggies while Vance Jackson (16 points,8.4 rebounds,3.6 assists) has contributed greatly to the Lobos.
The offense of New Mexico (177th in the NCAA with an offensive efficiency of 105.2) will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Utah State (16th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 91.9). The Aggies should have the edge on that end of the court.
Utah State at New Mexico Odds Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Utah State, ATS Winner – Utah State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Utah State ranks 22nd in assists per game (16.8) while New Mexico ranks 229th in assists allowed per game (15.8).
The Aggies average 41.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the country. The Lobos rank 215th in rebounds allowed per game (37.1).
New Mexico ranks 33rd in three pointers attempted per game (26.8) while Utah State ranks 187th (21.3).
The Aggies rank 78th in steals per game (7.1) while the Lobos rank 160th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
Utah State ranks 47th in blocks per game (4.3) while New Mexico ranks 87th (3.5).
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The Aggies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.0, down from 13.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lobos have scored an average of 72.6 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 79.0 points per game (2.3 above their season average).
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