Hoping to extend their unbeaten streak, the No. 4 Baylor Bears (8-0) take on the No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (8-1). The country’s third-leading receiver, Corey Coleman (1,178 yards, 20 TDs), is a player to keep an eye on in this contest. It starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov 14 and will air on ABC.
In last week’s game, Baylor beat Kansas State 31-24. Corey Coleman had a huge game in the victory, recording 11 receptions for 216 yards and two TDs. Jarrett Stidham also had a big day, contributing 419 yards and three TDs through the air. Oklahoma also got the win in last week’s performance, easily getting past Iowa State 52-16. Baker Mayfield had an outstanding performance passing the ball for the Sooners, connecting on 23 of 31 passes for 342 yards and three TDs. Sterling Shepard also had a big game with 94 receiving yards and a TD on four catches.
The Bears, a six-point favorite, will be looking to defend their home field when Oklahoma visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 78 points.
Heading into Week 11 of the college football season, the Bears are 8-0 Straight Up (SU) and 4-4 Against The Spread (ATS). The Bears are averaging an impressive 604.8 total yards in the last five games. As for the Baylor defense, there are important areas to keep an eye on. One of the keys to the game will be whether the Sooners can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Bears, who rank third in the nation with 2.6 turnovers per game. The Bears make it hard on their opponents in the second quarter. Baylor averages 15.4 points during that period, one of the best in the country.
In the other locker room, the Sooners head into Week 11 with records of 7-2 ATS and 8-1 SU. In the previous five games, Oklahoma has a record of 4-1 both SU and ATS. Chances are Oklahoma will continue to rely on its passing attack, where its 338 passing yards per game ranks 11th in the nation. The Sooners are playing better defense than they have all year, only allowing 14 PPG over their last five games, which is well under their season average of 18.1 points. The pass defense is a highlight of Oklahoma’s defense over those five weeks, only giving up 158.8 yards passing per opponent. There is no feeling-out process to start a game for the Sooners, who average 10.8 points in the first quarter.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Oklahoma, O/U – Over
Notes
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor’s last 9 games.
Baylor is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor’s last 5 games at home.
Baylor is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing Oklahoma.
Baylor is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma.
Baylor is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma is 7-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Baylor is 8-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
The Oklahoma defense is averaging 3.8 sacks per game this season, but Baylor is 5-1 SU when allowing at least 3.0 sacks in a game.
Baylor has drawn an average of 8.6 penalties on opponents this season, but Oklahoma is a perfect 4-0 SU when penalized at least eight times in a game.
The Baylor rushing attack is ranked fourth in the country, while the Oklahoma run defense is only ranked 49th. The Sooners running game is ranked 24th, compared to the 65th-ranked rush defense of the Bears.
