Two high-powered offenses will dictate this one as the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) take on the Louisiana State Tigers (7-1). The country’s leading rusher, Leonard Fournette (1,383 yards, 16 TDs), will be the focal point of this game for LSU. Arkansas comes into this game looking to add to its recent success, having won four of its last five. Players will take the field Saturday, Nov 14 at 7:15 p.m. ET and the game will air on ESPN.
LSU fell to Alabama 30-16 last week. Travin Dural had a solid performance in the loss, totaling two catches for 77 yards and one TD. Arkansas is hoping for another victory like last week’s performance, when it barely got past Ole Miss 53-52. Brandon Allen had a huge game through the air for the Razorbacks, completing 33 of 45 passes for 442 yards and six TDs. Drew Morgan also had a great game with 122 receiving yards and three TDs on nine receptions.
LSU is a nine-point favorite against the Razorbacks. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 60 points.
Heading into Week 11 of the college football season, the Tigers are 7-1 Straight Up (SU) and 4-4 Against The Spread (ATS). In the past five games, LSU is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The LSU rushing attack has averaged 256.2 rushing yards in the last five games. During their last five games, the Tigers have also improved their pass coverage, giving up an average of 230.0 passing yards. LSU can likely capitalize on how the Razorbacks are one of the worst in the country at preventing scoring in the fourth quarter, allowing an average of 11 points.
Over on the other sideline, the Razorbacks have a record of 5-4 for both ATS and SU. The Razorbacks went 4-1 for both SU and ATS over the last five games. Arkansas has made opposing defenses pay lately, averaging 41 points per game over the last five games. This improved stretch brought its season average to 34.8 PPG. The Razorbacks can take advantage of LSU’s bad habit of starting the second half cold. They allow an average of 10 points during the third quarter, ranking 115th in Division I. It’ll be hard to get the ball out of the hands of Arkansas’s offense this week. The team’s average time of possession is 34:09, ranking them fourth in the country.
Predictions: SU Winner – Louisiana State, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Over
Notes
LSU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU’s last 7 games.
LSU is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
LSU is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU’s last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU’s last 9 games when playing Arkansas.
LSU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas.
LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU’s last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas.
Since the beginning of last year, LSU is 8-5 SU against SEC opponents, while Arkansas is just 5-8 SU against conference foes.
