The Colorado State Rams (8-13, 3-5 MWC) will try to snap their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Air Force Falcons (9-12, 4-5 MWC) at Clune Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
Colorado State Rams at Air Force Falcons Free Prediction
In the Rams’ last outing, they were beaten by the Boise State Broncos, 70-68. Boise State’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Colorado State. The Broncos had a rate of 0.244 (below their season average of 0.262), while the Rams posted a mark of 0.113 (below their season average of 0.255). Nico Carvacho had a good performance for Colorado State, putting up 12 points, 16 rebounds and six assists.
The Falcons lost to the San Diego State Aztecs in their last matchup, 66-51. San Diego State won the rebounding battle. The Aztecs had nine offensive rebounds and 38 total rebounds, while the Falcons had four and 27, respectively. With 22 points on 9-for-18 shooting, Lavelle Scottie was the game’s high scorer.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Carvacho scored a game-high 27 points and the Rams defeated the Falcons 87-64. He also put up nine rebounds. The Rams had a much better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 22.4) and had a better free throw rate (0.145 vs. 0.115).
Air Force may have trouble getting to the foul line in this showdown. The Falcons rank 290th in the country with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.197, while Colorado State ranks 60th in FTA rate allowed (0.193). Additionally, put-back points could be tough to come by for the Rams. They rank 286th in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2 percent, while the Falcons are 57th-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 74.8 percent).
Colorado State vs. Air Force Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Colorado State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Air Force averages 13.5 assists per game, which ranks 141st in the NCAA. Colorado State ranks 231st in assists allowed per game (15.3).
The Rams rank 142nd in three pointers attempted per game (22.6) while the Falcons rank 213th in three pointers allowed per game (24.7).
Colorado State ranks 138th in steals per game (6.0) while Air Force ranks 184th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
The Rams rank 201st in rebounds per game (34.5) while the Falcons rank 231st (33.7).
Colorado State ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while Air Force ranks 36th (2.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Rams’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 2.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
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