This looks like it could be a shootout as the Oregon Ducks (6-3) take on the Stanford Cardinal (8-1). This game will feature the nation’s third-leading rusher, Royce Freeman (1,287 yards, 11 TDs). Oregon comes into this game looking to add to its recent success, having won four of its last five. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov 14 and will air on FOX.
Stanford routed Colorado 42-10 last week. Austin Hooper had a good game in the win, registering three catches for 62 yards and one TD. Christian McCaffrey also had a great game with 147 rushing yards on 23 carries. Oregon also won last week’s performance, defeating California 44-28. Royce Freeman had a great game running the ball for the Ducks, rushing for 180 yards on 29 carries. Tony Brooks-James also had a big day, contributing 101 rushing yards on seven attempts.
Stanford is an eight-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 70 points.
The Cardinal enter the game with records of 8-1 Straight Up (SU) and 7-2 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In their five most recent matchups, the Cardinal went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. Stanford has seen an increase in scoring in recent weeks compared to its 37.1 points per game average. Over the past five games, they’ve averaged 42 points per game. The Cardinal have America’s 15th-ranked running attack with 227.6 yards per game. During their last five games, the Cardinal have also improved their pass coverage, giving up an average of 228.2 passing yards. Keep an eye on Stanford to turn it up a notch during the second quarter, when it averages 11.1 points per game. Mistakes and a lack of focus may be factors that benefit the Cardinal in the game. The Ducks are one of the most penalized teams in the nation with 7.6 flags per game.
On the other side, the Ducks have a record of 5-4 ATS and 6-3 SU. Over their last five games, the Ducks have a SU and ATS record of 4-1 for those betting with them. Hopefully Stanford’s defense is better than its timing. It will be matching up against a Ducks offense that is on fire lately, averaging 558 total yards over their last five games. With an average of 146.9 return yards per game (second-most in the country), Oregon has had a great deal of success with its special teams.
Predictions: SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Stanford, O/U – Under
Notes
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Stanford’s last 21 games.
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Stanford is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Oregon.
Stanford is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oregon.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Stanford’s last 10 games when playing Oregon.
Stanford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford’s last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon.
Oregon is 6-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Stanford is 7-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Stanford is 2-1 SU in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, yet undefeated (3-0 SU) in games where it loses the turnover battle.
The Stanford ground attack is ranked 15th in the nation, compared to the 75th-ranked rush defense of Oregon.