The UC Davis Aggies (5-14, 1-4 BigWst) will try to end their 10-game road losing streak in a matchup against the UC Riverside Highlanders (8-15, 2-5 BigWst) at Student Recreation Center. The game gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
UC Davis Aggies at UC Riverside Highlanders ATS Prediction
The last time the Aggies played, they were dismantled by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 80-60. Hawaii’s 26.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over UC Davis, who had a rate of 18.2. The Rainbow Warriors’ mark was below their season average of 28.2, while the Aggies’ was below their season average of 23.4. TJ Shorts II had a good game for UC Davis, contributing 11 points and eight assists.
The Highlanders lost big to the Cal Poly Mustangs in their last matchup, 71-45. Cal Poly’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over UC Riverside. The Mustangs had a rate of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.482), while the Highlanders posted a mark of 0.383 (below their season average of 0.531). Callum McRae had a solid performance for UC Riverside, leading the team in scoring with 10 points on 3-for-4 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the country’s slowest-paced teams square off. UC Riverside currently ranks 347th in possessions per game (63.8) and UC Davis is 269th (67.8). Also, second chance points could be few and far between for the Aggies. They rank 328th in the NCAA in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.1 percent, while the Highlanders are 56th-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 74.8 percent).
After the Aggies won all three meetings against the Highlanders last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, UC Davis won 70-66. Getting to the free throw line was one of UC Davis’ biggest advantages. They had 28 free throw attempts, while UC Riverside had 21.
UC Davis Aggies at UC Riverside Highlanders Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – UC Riverside, ATS Winner – UC Riverside, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
UC Riverside ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while UC Davis ranks 151st (7.1).
The Highlanders rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (31.0) while the Aggies rank 127th (34.6).
UC Riverside ranks 35th in three pointers allowed per game (19.5) while UC Davis ranks 72nd (20.8).
The Highlanders lead the nation with 1.7 blocks allowed per game while the Aggies are 37th with 2.6 blocks allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
The Aggies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 5.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Highlanders have scored an average of 63.8 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
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