It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the Saint Louis Billikens (14-8, 5-4 A10) welcome the Dayton Flyers (15-7, 7-2 A10) to Chaifetz Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens ATS Prediction
In the Flyers’ last contest, they beat the Duquesne Dukes, 68-64. Dayton’s 0.200 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Duquesne, who had a rate of 0.091. The Flyers’ mark matched their season average, while the Dukes’ was below their season average of 0.260. With 26 points on 11-for-16 shooting, Obi Toppin was the top scorer from either team.
The Billikens fell to the Rhode Island Rams in their last outing, 65-54. Rhode Island’s 0.327 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Saint Louis, who had a rate of 0.111. The Rams’ mark was above their season average of 0.259, while the Billikens’ was below their season average of 0.254. Saint Louis’ Hasahn French had 15 points and 10 rebounds in the contest.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, the Flyers won 53-50. The Flyers had a better free throw rate (0.152 vs. 0.083) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 vs. 20.7).
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Saint Louis ranks 273rd in possessions per game (67.5) and Dayton is 274th (67.5). Additionally, the sweet-shooting offense of the Flyers ranks 19th in effective field goal percentage (0.558), while the Billikens are 28th-best in the country at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462).
Dayton Flyers at Saint Louis Billikens Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Saint Louis, ATS Winner – Saint Louis, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Saint Louis ranks 53rd in three pointers allowed per game (20.1) while Dayton ranks 251st (25.7).
The Billikens rank 38th in steals per game (7.8) while the Flyers rank 191st (5.1).
Dayton ranks 15th in assists per game (17.0) while Saint Louis ranks 165th (12.9).
The Billikens rank 23rd in rebounds per game (39.9) while the Flyers rank 157th (35.6).
Saint Louis ranks 47th in blocks per game (4.2) while Dayton ranks 151st (2.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Flyers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 6.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Billikens have scored an average of 65.8 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.4 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
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