The UNCG Spartans (21-3, 10-1 SoCon) will attempt to lengthen their seven-game winning streak against the Chattanooga Mocs (11-14, 6-6 SoCon) at McKenzie Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
UNCG Spartans vs. Chattanooga Mocs Free Prediction
In the Spartans’ last game, they beat the Samford Bulldogs, 75-67. UNCG’s 17.1 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Samford, who had a mark of 27.3. The Spartans’ mark was worse than their season average of 14.1, while the Bulldogs’ was above their season average of 17.2. With 22 points on 9-for-18 shooting, Isaiah Miller led UNCG in scoring.
The Mocs won a close one over the VMI Keydets in their last game, 71-70. Chattanooga had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.2 (above their season average of 24.0). VMI, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (14.5 vs. 16.6). Thomas Smallwood led Chattanooga in scoring with 16 points on 5-for-7 shooting from the field.
Chattanooga might have trouble scoring as they clash against one of the nation’s best defenses. UNCG currently ranks 36th in defensive efficiency while the Mocs rank 189th in offensive efficiency. Ball security should be an advantage for the Spartans. They rank 34th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.4 percent). Conversely, the Mocs force the 45th-fewest turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.7 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Miller scored a game-high 21 points in the first game, in which the Spartans defeated the Mocs 85-72. He also put up six steals and five rebounds. The Spartans had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.2 vs. 14.3) and had a much better turnover percentage (14.2 vs. 21.9).
UNCG Spartans vs. Chattanooga Mocs Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – UNCG, ATS Winner – UNCG, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
UNCG ranks 12th in steals per game (8.9) while Chattanooga ranks 218th (4.4).
The Spartans rank 24th in assists allowed per game (10.8) while the Mocs rank 111th (12.7).
UNCG is 42nd in the NCAA with 2.7 blocks allowed per game while Chattanooga is 53rd with 2.8 blocks allowed per game.
The Spartans rank 186th in rebounds per game (34.6) while the Mocs rank 196th in rebounds allowed per game (35.9).
Bettings Trends:
The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 14.4, up from 12.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mocs have scored an average of 71.6 points per game (1.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 81.0 points per game (6.6 above their season average).
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