It will be a battle between SoCon opponents when the VMI Keydets (7-16, 1-10 SoCon) welcome the Samford Bulldogs (14-11, 4-8 SoCon) to Cameron Hall. The game is scheduled to get underway at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets ATS Prediction
In the Bulldogs’ last matchup, they were defeated by the UNCG Spartans, 75-67. UNCG’s 17.1 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Samford, who had a rate of 27.3. The Spartans’ mark was worse than their season average of 14.1, while the Bulldogs’ was above their season average of 17.2. Samford’s Robert Allen had a solid performance, recording 16 points and 14 rebounds.
The Keydets lost a tough one against the Chattanooga Mocs in their last matchup, 71-70. Chattanooga’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over VMI. The Mocs had a rate of 34.2 (above their season average of 24.0), while the Keydets posted a mark of 26.5. With 21 points on 8-for-17 shooting, Bubba Parham was the game’s leading scorer.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Ruben Guerrero put up 23 points and nine rebounds and the Bulldogs beat the Keydets 96-68. The Bulldogs had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.3 vs. 14.3) and had a much better free throw rate (0.258 vs. 0.154).
Samford might struggle to create turnovers. VMI ranks 93rd in the country at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 17.6 percent), while Samford forces the 209th-most turnovers (18.8 percent). Moreover, the Bulldogs rank 36th in effective field goal percentage (0.551), while the Keydets rank 304th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.532).
Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Samford, ATS Winner – Samford, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
VMI ranks 21st in three pointers attempted per game (27.8) while Samford ranks 257th in three pointers allowed per game (25.9).
The Bulldogs rank 113th in rebounds per game (36.4) while the Keydets rank 273rd in rebounds allowed per game (38.9).
Samford averages 14.2 assists per game, which ranks 104th in the nation. VMI ranks 218th in assists allowed per game (15.0).
The Keydets rank 97th in steals per game (6.6) while the Bulldogs rank 146th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
Samford blocks 3.8 opponent shots per game, which is ranked 74th in the nation. VMI ranks 122nd in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Bulldogs have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Samford has defeated opponents by an average of 3.8 points.
During their last five games, the Keydets have scored an average of 75.4 points per game (0.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 83.8 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
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