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Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears ATS Preview 02/09/19

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between Ivy opponents when the Brown Bears (13-8, 1-4 Ivy) welcome the Princeton Tigers (12-6, 4-1 Ivy) to the Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.

Princeton Tigers at Brown Bears Free Prediction

The last time the Tigers played, they were 2-point favorites and were defeated by the Yale Bulldogs, 74-60. The game’s total points (134) hit the projected point total. Yale’s 0.292 free throw rate was their largest strength over Princeton, who had a rate of 0.147. The Bulldogs’ mark was above their season average of 0.219, while the Tigers’ was below their season average of 0.237. Richmond Aririguzoh was Princeton’s high scorer with 17 points on 7-for-10 shooting.

The Bears were beaten by the Penn Quakers in their last outing, 92-82, despite being 6.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (174) were well over the projected point total of 136. One of Penn’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 28 trips to the line, while Brown went 19 times. Obi Okolie put together a good performance for Brown, leading both teams in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-11 shooting.

Brown could dominate on the defensive side of the ball as they clash against one of the nation’s worst offenses. The Bears rank 53rd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.475), while Princeton is 324th in effective field goal percentage (0.468).

Princeton comes into the game with records of 12-6 straight up (SU) and 8-6-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Tigers are involved, as 66.7 percent of their contests have finished under the total.

Brown has a respectable 13-8 SU record, but they are just 7-8-3 ATS. Bears games also tend to go under the projected point total (77.8 percent).

Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Aririguzoh (15 points,7.4 rebounds) has been great for the Tigers while Okolie (13 points,1.2 steals) has made great contributions to the Bears.

After splitting two games last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent game, the Tigers won 78-63. The Tigers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.536 vs. 0.371) and had a better free throw rate (0.345 vs. 0.274).

Princeton Tigers at Brown Bears Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Brown, ATS Winner – Princeton, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

On the road, Princeton is 6-4-1 ATS with 7 unders and 4 overs.

At home, Brown is 2-4-1 ATS with 5 unders and 2 overs.

Brown ranks 88th in assists per game (14.5) while Princeton ranks 244th (10.9).

The Bears average 37.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 70th in the country. The Tigers rank 222nd in rebounds allowed per game (36.9).

Princeton averages 25.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 65th in the country. Brown ranks 176th in three pointers allowed per game (23.1).

The Bears average 4.0 blocks per game, which ranks 57th in the country. The Tigers rank 161st in blocks allowed per game (4.2).

Brown ranks 37th in steals per game (7.8) while Princeton ranks 126th (6.2).

Bettings Trends:

Over its last five games, Princeton is 4-0 ATS with 4 unders.

Brown is 0-3-1 ATS with 4 unders over its last five games.

The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 1.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 65.4 points per game (9.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (4.5 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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