The AAC’s leading rusher, Marlon Mack (1,065 yards, 6 TDs), will be on display when the South Florida Bulls meet the Cincinnati Bearcats. South Florida (6-4) comes into this game looking to continue its recent success, having won four of its last five. The game starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on Friday, Nov 20 and will be available on CBSS.
In last week’s game, South Florida won big over Temple 44-23. Marlon Mack had an outstanding performance on the ground in the win, carrying 21 times for 230 yards and two TDs. Rodney Adams also had a big game with 147 receiving yards and a TD on seven catches. Cincinnati also got the win in last week’s performance, defeating Tulsa 49-38. Mike Boone had a huge game running the ball for the Bearcats, running 18 times for 137 yards and three TDs. Gunner Kiel had a great game as well, adding 386 yards and two TDs through the air.
The Bulls are slender underdogs with Cincinnati favored by two in the game. For this contest, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable.
Heading into Week 12 of the college football season, the Bulls are 6-4 Straight Up (SU) and 7-2-1 Against The Spread (ATS). In the past five games, South Florida is 4-1 for both SU and ATS. The Bulls have America’s 15th-ranked running attack with 227.9 yards per game. As for the South Florida defense, there are important areas to keep an eye on. The Bearcats will be matching up against a stout South Florida pass defense, which only allowed 206.2 passing yards over their last five matchups. South Florida’s special teams squad is a force to be reckoned with. They average 110.7 return yards per game, 21st in Division I.
Over on the other sideline, the Bearcats have a record of 5-5 ATS and 6-4 SU. Over their last five games, the Bearcats have a SU and ATS record of 3-2 for those betting with them. If earlier games are any indication, the Bearcats will throw the ball a lot. They average 387.4 passing yards per game, good enough for fourth in Division I. Moving on to the Cincinnati defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of. The Bulls are matching up with Cincinnati’s defense at an inopportune time. Over the last five games, Cincinnati’s opponents have only averaged 203.8 yards through the air. The Bearcats will look to put the ball in the end zone against a South Florida defense that allows an average of 8.1 points in the third quarter, one of the worst marks in the nation. Cincinnati tends to run a lot of plays during games, averaging 82 offensive snaps for seventh-most in the country.
Predictions: SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – South Florida
Notes
South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
South Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
South Florida is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games at home.
South Florida is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati.
South Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. South Florida is 5-1 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
South Florida is an even 2-2 SU in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, yet 3-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The South Florida rushing attack is ranked 15th in the nation, compared to the 88th-ranked run defense of Cincinnati.
