This week’s matchup between the San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) and the Nevada-Las Vegas Rebels (3-7) will give the Aztecs a chance to continue their six-game winning streak. This game will feature the MWC’s third-leading receiver, Devonte Boyd (741 yards, 6 TDs), and the third-leading rusher, Donnel Pumphrey (1,171 yards, 12 TDs). It will air Saturday, Nov 21 at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBSS.
UNLV fell to Colorado State 49-35 last week. Kendal Keys had an outstanding performance in the loss, catching six balls for 87 yards and three TDs. Lexington Thomas had a big game as well, totaling 118 rushing yards and a TD on 11 attempts. San Diego State is hoping for another victory like last week’s performance, when it dominated Wyoming 38-3. Chase Price had a huge game on the ground for the Aztecs, totaling 152 yards and two TDs on 17 carries.
San Diego State is an 11-point favorite in this game against the Rebels.
The Rebels enter the game with records of 3-7 Straight Up (SU) and 5-5 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Over their last five games, the Rebels have records of 1-4 for both SU and ATS. UNLV has made opposing defenses pay lately, averaging 260.6 passing yards per game over the last five weeks, higher than its season average of 207.4 yards.
On the other side, the Aztecs head into Week 12 with records of 6-4 ATS and 7-3 SU. In the previous five games, San Diego State has an unbeaten record SU and ATS. The Aztecs have averaged 37 PPG over the last five games, above their 29.8 PPG season average. San Diego State has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 222 rushing yards per game ranks 20th in Division I. During their last five games, the Aztecs have also done a better job of keeping their opponents off the scoreboard. They’re allowing 17.1 PPG, but have given up an average of 11 over their last five. San Diego State’s pass defense ranks 21st in the nation. This menacing bunch gives up just 184.5 yards per game through the air. The Rebels might be leery of throwing too often against the Aztecs. They rank sixth in the country in interceptions with 1.6 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State
Notes
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
UNLV is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV’s last 7 games at home.
UNLV is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home.
UNLV is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
UNLV is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Diego State.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV’s last 6 games when playing San Diego State.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV’s last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego State.
San Diego State is 7-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. UNLV is 3-1 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
UNLV is winless (0-3 SU) in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, and 2-3 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The UNLV offensive passing attack is ranked only 89th in the country, while the San Diego State pass defense is ranked 21st. The Aztecs passing game is ranked just 120th, compared to the 97th-ranked pass defense of the Rebels.
