The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) match up against the Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at Lincoln Financial Field this week. A player to watch is the NFL’s fifth-leading rusher, Doug Martin (706 yards, 3 TDs). Philadelphia has had a subpar season, but has shown signs of life lately, winning three of its last five. The game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov 22 and can be seen on FOX.
Philadelphia lost a game they could have won against the Dolphins 20-19 last week. Brent Celek had a big game in the loss, totaling four catches for 134 yards. Zach Ertz contributed as well, putting up 68 yards on seven receptions. Tampa Bay is hoping for a similar result as last week when they beat the Cowboys 10-6. Mike Evans had an outstanding performance for the Buccaneers, totaling eight catches for 126 yards.
The Eagles are a considerable seven-point favorite and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 45 points.
Heading into Week 11 of league action, the Eagles are 4-5 for both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last five games, the Eagles have records of 3-2 for both SU and ATS. The game plan for the Eagles is committed to passing. The Buccaneers currently rank 28th in the NFL with 286.5 passing yards allowed per road game. Philadelphia’s top-five scoring defense allows 16 points per home game. One of the keys to the game will be if the Buccaneers can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Eagles, who rank second in the league with 2.2 turnovers per game. If the game is close late, the Eagles may have an edge. Tampa Bay finishes away games poorly, giving up an average of 10.2 points in the fourth quarter. Mistakes could completely alter the game in favor of the Eagles this week, as Tampa Bay is among the most penalized teams in the NFL. This season, the Buccaneers have recorded 79 penalty yards per game.
Moving to the road team, the Buccaneers have 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS records this season. In the previous five games, Tampa Bay has a record of 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. The Tampa Bay run defense has given teams problems during the past five games. During that time, opponents have gained an average of 72.4 rushing yards against this terrorizing bunch. The Eagles can’t give the ball away to the turnover-minded Buccaneers. The Tampa Bay defense generates 2.2 turnovers per away game, fourth in the league.
Predictions: SU Winner – TB, ATS Winner – TB, O/U – Under
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games at home.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home.
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay.
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay.
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
Both teams are 3-1 SU when leading after three quarters.
Philadelphia is only 1-3) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 3-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Tampa Bay pass defense is ranked 10th in the league, while the Philadelphia passing attack is ranked only 14th. The Buccaneers’ passing game is ranked just 23rd, compared to the 16th-ranked pass defense of the Eagles.
