The San Francisco 49ers (3-6) head to play the Seattle Seahawks (4-5) at CenturyLink Field this week. Though this season hasn’t met expectations for Seattle, the team has shown signs of life in recent weeks, winning two of its last three. Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov 22 and will air on FOX.
The Seahawks defeated the 49ers 20-3 in their last meeting. That Week 7 game marked four straight wins for Seattle against San Francisco, going back to the 2013 season. Michael Bennett led the Seahawks defensive effort in the last meeting, recording four tackles and 3.5 sacks. Marshawn Lynch had a great game as well, adding 122 yards and a TD on 27 carries. Aaron Lynch led the defensive effort for San Francisco, recording five tackles and two sacks.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 41 points and the 49ers are a substantial 10-point underdog.
Sitting at 4-5 Straight Up (SU) and 2-6-1 Against The Spread (ATS), the Seahawks will look to improve heading into Week 11. In their five most recent matchups, the Seahawks went 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS. They should have success on offense at home against the 49ers, who have the worst scoring defense on the road at 36.8 points allowed per game. A focal point of Seattle’s offense is the running game, which ranks fourth in the league with 136.8 rushing yards per game. Though Seattle has a low ranking defense, they may still stand a chance against the 49ers’ league-worst road scoring offense (14.0 PPG). Expect the Seahawks defense to restrict San Francisco’s passing game. The Seahawks have the second-ranked pass defense in the NFL and give up 202.8 passing yards per game. The Seahawks will need to attack the quarterback against the 49ers, who rank 27th in sacks allowed with 3.1 per game. In the third quarter, Seattle is resilient, putting up a league-leading 9.2 points during the third frame of home games. Keeping the ball for 28:44 minutes per game, San Francisco ranks 30th in average time of possession. They probably won’t be controlling the tempo against the Seahawks.
Shifting to the opposition, the 49ers head into Week 11 with records of 4-5 ATS and 3-6 SU. Over their last five games, the 49ers have a SU record of 2-3 and a 3-2 record ATS. San Francisco has avoided penalties this season, receiving 6.1 per game, the fourth-fewest in the league.
Predictions: SU Winner – Sea, ATS Winner – Sea, O/U – Over
Notes
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
Seattle is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games at home.
Seattle is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Seattle is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing San Francisco.
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
San Francisco is 3-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Seattle is 4-3 SU when leading after three quarters.
San Francisco is only 1-4 SU this season when allowing at least 3.0 sacks in a game. The Seattle defense is averaging 3.4 sacks over its last five games.
According to overall NFL pass rankings, Seattle is rated higher on both sides of the ball. Its 27th-ranked offensive passing game will face the 29th-ranked pass defense of San Francisco, while its second-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 30th-ranked aerial attack of the 49ers.
