The Atlanta Hawks will host a showdown against the Sacramento Kings at Philips Arena. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 18 and can be seen on FxS and CSA.
The Hawks are hoping for a better outcome after their 90-88 loss to the Nets on Tuesday. Al Horford was the team’s leading scorer with 18 points. The Kings, meanwhile, are coming off a 107-101 win against the Raptors on Sunday. DeMarcus Cousins claimed his fifth double-double of the season with 36 points and 10 rebounds.
Cousins has been hot over the last five games for the Kings, averaging 32.5 points, 11.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 0.8 steals, 1.5 blocks, and 2.2 three-pointers.
When evaluating effective field goal percentage, the Hawks could have a healthy advantage on offense. They’re ranked second in the league in that category at 52.4%, while Sacramento’s suspect effective field goal percentage defense is ranked 28th, allowing opponents to connect at a rate of 52.8% this year. It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Kings, which ranks 27th in ball security (turnover percentage of 15.9%). They’ll be going up against the disruptive defense of the Hawks, which forces the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (16.8%).
The Hawks are a four-point favorite against Sacramento and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 210 points. The Hawks have gone 8-5 Straight Up (SU) and 5-7-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Hawks are one of the best in the NBA in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting an impressive .469 from the field. Atlanta is one of the best passing teams in the league with an average of 26.3 assists per game. As for the Atlanta defense, opponents have consistently had the ball stolen by the Hawks, who rank second in the league in steals per game with 9.8. Atlanta is the league’s top scoring team off turnovers with an average of 21.7 points per game.
As for their opponent, the Kings have a record of 5-6 ATS and 4-7 SU. The Kings convert their three-pointers at a high percentage, ranking second in the league at .384. Sacramento is the fourth-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 21.4 per game.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between these two. Their previous game was a Hawks victory, bumping their SU record to 10-0 over the Kings in their last 10 meetings. The Hawks also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 9-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Atl, ATS Winner – Atl, O/U – Over
Notes
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
Atlanta is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing Sacramento.
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Sacramento ranks sixth in points per game with 103.8, while Atlanta ranks 14th in points allowed with an average of 99.5 given up.
Atlanta ranks 18th in points allowed per home game (99.7 PPG), while Sacramento ranks seventh in points per away game with 103.0.
The Sacramento Kings are undefeated at 1-0 when they allow fewer than 100 points, while the Atlanta Hawks are 3-4 when they can’t put up at least 100.
The Sacramento Kings have a subpar 3-7 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Atlanta Hawks are 5-1 when they hit the century mark.
The Hawks have a defensive rating of 101.2 (ranked 15th), while the Kings rank 13th for their offensive rating of 101.4.
The Sacramento Kings have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking 10th in the league with a FG% of 45.0%. The Atlanta Hawks have split their games 2-2 when opponents have a similar or higher FG%.
On average, Atlanta attempts 25.0 three pointers and Sacramento attempts 22.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Hawks are even at 3-3 while the Kings have a winning 2-1 record.
The Atlanta Hawks, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.77, rank fourth in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have a lower A/TO (1.44), ranking 18th.
The Atlanta Hawks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 40.0 per game. The Sacramento Kings average 44.5 rebounds (ranked 16th).
Atlanta is ranked 25th in defensive rebounds, while Sacramento ranks sixth in offensive rebounds.
Ranked fifth, Sacramento averages a forced turnover percentage of 16.5% this season. When the Hawks suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-4 record.