The Utah Jazz head to the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks. The game starts at 8:30 pm ET on Friday, Nov. 20 and will air on RT and FSW.
The Mavericks were victorious over the Celtics 106-102 on Wednesday. Deron Williams had 16 points, six assists, and three rebounds for Dallas. The Jazz, meanwhile, are coming off a 93-89 win over the Raptors on Wednesday. Derrick Favors played well, posting 18 points and 11 rebounds to claim his fourth double-double of the season.
Over the last five games, Favors has been on fire for the Jazz. During that stretch, he has averaged 17.6 points, 9.6 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.0 blocks.
Based on each team’s statistical profile, ball protection could play an integral role in this matchup. The Mavericks commit the third-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 13.1%), while the ball-hawking defense of Dallas forces the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.1%).
The Mavericks are favored by a small two-point margin in their matchup against Utah. The matchup currently has a 193-point Over/Under (O/U). The Mavericks are attempting to build on their records of 8-4 Straight Up (SU) and 7-5 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 6-2 both SU and ATS versus the Western Conference. Utah has a habit of getting in foul trouble (23.5 fouls per game), so expect the Mavericks to get a number of opportunities from the free throw line.
On the other side, Utah has a SU record of 6-5 and an ATS record of 7-3-1. Utah’s defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking second in the NBA with only 91.4 points allowed per road game. Utah’s defense is one of the top in the league, with opponents shooting only .424 from the field. They average 6.3 blocks per game, good for fifth in the league.
This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time the conference rivals played, Utah won, but the Mavericks still lead the head-to-head record, 8-2 SU, over the last 10 matchups. Additionally, the Mavericks lead the matchup ATS with a record of 5-4-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Uta, ATS Winner – Uta, O/U – Under
Notes
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas’s last 17 games at home.
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah.
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah.
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas’s last 18 games when playing at home against Utah.
On average, Utah puts up 95.3 points per game (ranked 29th), while Dallas gives up 99.7 points per game (ranked 12th).
Utah puts up an average of 96.8 points per away game (ranked 24th), while Dallas allows 99.6 points per home game (ranked 16th).
Utah has an outstanding 6-2 record when it gives up under 100 points this season. Dallas is 2-3 when it scores under 100.
Utah has not won a game this season (0-3) when allowing 100 or more points. On the other hand, Dallas has a stellar 6-1 record when it hits the century mark.
The Jazz have an offensive rating of 100.4 (ranked 19th), while the Mavericks rank eighth for their defensive rating of 98.9.
Dallas has an average field goal percentage of 43.9%. Utah is a losing 1-3 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, Dallas attempts 25.0 three pointers and Utah attempts 20.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Mavericks have a 3-2 record while the Jazz are even at 1-1.
Dallas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.63 this season (ranked seventh), while Utah ranks lower at 24th with an A/TO of 1.32.
The Mavericks rank 12th in rebounds per game with 45.1, while the Jazz rank 23rd with 42.6 per game.
Dallas ranks among the best in the league in defensive rebounds at third, while Utah ranks a solid 13th in offensive rebounds.
Utah’s defense forces its opponents to commit an average turnover percentage of 17.1%, ranked fifth in the league. In games where Dallas has a TOV% of 17.1% or higher, the team is undefeated (2-0).
