The Denver Nuggets (6-7) will have their chance to bring down the league’s top team when they take on the Golden State Warriors (14-0) at the Pepsi Center. The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Sunday, Nov. 22 and will air on ALT, GS2 and ESP.
The Nuggets were beaten by the Suns 114-107 on Friday. Emmanuel Mudiay was the team’s high scorer, finishing with 26 points. The Warriors, meanwhile, are coming off a 106-94 win over the Bulls on Friday. Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 27 points on 9-for-20 shooting.
Will Barton has really been playing well as of late for the Nuggets, averaging 17.0 points, 6.4 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.6 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 2.2 three-pointers over the last five games. Draymond Green has also been on fire in the same span, averaging 15.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, 8.6 assists, 1.2 steals, 1.6 blocks, and 1.6 three-pointers while leading the Warriors.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Warriors won the first game 119-104. Curry played a huge role in the victory by recording a double-double with 34 points and 10 assists.
The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is set at 214 points and the Nuggets are a heavy 10-point underdog. The Nuggets enter the game with records of 6-7 Straight Up (SU) and 7-6 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS versus the Western Conference.
On the other side, the Warriors head into the game with records of 9-5 ATS and 14-0 SU. Golden State has records of 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS against the West. They sport the top-ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 114.3 points per game. Golden State is the top three-point shooting team in the league, converting 172 shots from three-point range (12.0 per game). Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Warriors, who average a league-leading 29.0 assists per game. Golden State’s three-point defense is one of the top in the league, with opponents making only 6.0 shots from the three-point line per game. They average 6.1 blocks per game, good for fifth in the league. Golden State makes opponents pay for turning the ball over, ranking third in points off turnovers with an average of 19.8 per game.
The Warriors’ win over Denver in their last clash brought their SU record in the past 10 games to 6-4. The teams have an even record ATS, 5-5.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS, O/U – Under
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games at home.
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games when playing Golden State.
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State.
Denver is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Golden State.
Denver ranks 19th in points per game with 100.2, while Golden State ranks 13th in points allowed with an average of 99.8 given up.
Denver allows 101.5 points at home this season. Topping the league in road scoring, Golden State scores 117.0 points in away games.
When Denver allows 100 or more points, the team is a poor 3-5. In games where it hits the century mark, Golden State is undefeated with a 14-0 record.
The Warriors have a defensive rating of 97.5, fifth-best in the NBA. The Nuggets also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 102.1 (ranked 15th).
With 98.2 possessions and 1.021 points per possession, the Denver Nuggets perform worse on both metrics than the Golden State Warriors. Golden State averages 102.1 possessions and 1.119 points per possession.
Golden State has an average effective field goal percentage of 55.5% (ranked first in the league}. Denver is a losing 1-3 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Among all teams, Golden State is the best when it comes to assists, registering an average of 29.0 per game. Denver ranks slightly lower in total assists, at eighth (22.4 per game).
With 6.1 blocks per game, the Golden State Warriors rank fifth in the league. The Denver Nuggets are in the top half of NBA teams for blocking, ranking 11th with 5.6 blocks per game.
The Denver Nuggets rank sixth in offensive rebounding, while the Golden State Warriors rank ninth in defensive rebounding.
The Golden State Warriors earn an average of 9.1 steals per game and are ranked eighth. The Denver Nuggets have a 3-2 record when they allow at least 9 steals.
