The MWC’s second-leading rusher, Donnel Pumphrey (1,310 yards, 14 TDs), and the San Diego State Aztecs play third-leading passer, Tyler Stewart (1,837 yards, 15 TDs), and the Nevada Wolf Pack. The Aztecs are 8-3, while the Wolf Pack have a 6-5 record this season. The game will begin Saturday, Nov 28 at 10:45 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESP2.
San Diego State cruised past UNLV 52-14 last week. Donnel Pumphrey had an outstanding performance on the ground in the win, rushing for 139 yards and two TDs on 14 carries. Nevada didn’t have the same success as San Diego State, falling to Utah State 31-27. James Butler had a big game on the ground for the Wolf Pack, gaining 139 yards and two TDs on 17 carries.
The Aztecs, a 14-point favorite, will be looking to defend their home field when Nevada visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is presently unavailable.
Heading into Week 13 of the college football season, the Aztecs are 8-3 Straight Up (SU) and 7-4 Against The Spread (ATS). San Diego State had incredible success over the last five games, going 5-0 SU and ATS. The Aztecs have seen an uptick in scoring recently, averaging 41 points during the last five games. They average 31.8 points per game on the season. The San Diego State run game is productive, currently ranking 16th in the nation with 227.8 rushing yards per game. As for the San Diego State defense, there are important areas to keep an eye on. The Aztecs have the 18th-best pass defense in the nation and give up 185 yards per game through the air.
Across the field, the Wolf Pack have a record of 7-4 ATS and 6-5 SU. In the previous five games, Nevada has a record of 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. Nevada’s running backs and offensive linemen look to keep their rushing attack rolling. Over the past five games, they’ve managed an impressive 219.6 rushing yards per game. Lately, the Wolf Pack have had a better pass defense. They’re allowing only 190.6 passing YPG over their last five matchups.
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State
Notes
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of San Diego State’s last 24 games.
San Diego State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego State’s last 12 games at home.
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada.
Nevada is 4-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. San Diego State is 8-1 SU when leading after three quarters.
The San Diego State passing attack is ranked only 119th in the country, while the Nevada pass defense is ranked 56th. The Wolf Pack passing game is ranked just 115th, compared to the 18th-ranked pass defense of the Aztecs.
