The Auburn Tigers battle the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide this week in a game that will feature the country’s fourth-leading rusher, Derrick Henry (1,526 yards, 21 TDs). The Tigers have gone 6-5 thus far, while the Crimson Tide are 10-1. The game will air Saturday, Nov 28 at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
In last week’s matchup, Auburn won big over Idaho 56-34. Ricardo Louis had a great game in the victory, grabbing four receptions for 90 yards and one TD. Roc Thomas also had a great game with 78 rushing yards and a TD on four carries. Winning in similar fashion, Alabama smashed Charleston Southern 56-6. Derrick Henry had a huge game running the ball for the Crimson Tide, rushing nine times for 68 yards and two TDs. Jake Coker put up 155 yards and two TDs through the air.
Alabama is a 13-point favorite in this game against the Tigers.
Sitting at 6-5 Straight Up (SU) and 2-8-1 Against The Spread (ATS), the Tigers will look to improve heading into Week 13. In their five most recent matchups, the Tigers went 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS. The Auburn running game is averaging 221.6 rushing yards during its last five matchups. During their last five games, the Tigers gave up 247.2 passing yards per game. Penalties aren’t likely to cost Auburn this week’s game. They earn the 10th-fewest penalties among Division I teams, averaging only 4.6 per game.
In the other locker room, the Crimson Tide head into Week 13 with records of 6-5 ATS and 10-1 SU. Over their last five games, the Crimson Tide have a SU record of 5-0 and a 4-1 record ATS for those betting with them. The defensive front seven better be ready for Alabama’s bruising rushing attack which has averaged 211.0 yards on the ground over its past five games. Shifting to the other side of the ball, it might be tough for the Tigers to keep up with Alabama’s defense in a few areas. Alabama’s pass defense ranks 21st in the nation. This terrifying group gives up just 187.2 yards per game through the air. The Tigers might be leery of throwing too often against the Crimson Tide. They rank 11th in the country in interceptions with 1.4 per game. The Crimson Tide may be aware that the floodgates tend to open on the Tigers during the fourth quarter, when they allow 9.9 points per game. It’ll be hard to get the ball out of the hands of Alabama’s offense this week. The team’s average time of possession is 33:51, ranking them 13th in the country.
Predictions: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama
Notes
Auburn is 2-13-1 ATS in its last 16 games.
Auburn is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Auburn is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn’s last 6 games at home.
Auburn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Alabama.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn’s last 5 games when playing Alabama.
Auburn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn’s last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama.
Alabama is 8-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Auburn is 5-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Auburn is an even 2-2 SU in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, yet 4-2 SU when losing the turnover battle.
Dating back to last season, Alabama is 14-2 SU against SEC opponents, while Auburn is 6-9 SU against in-conference foes.
