This week’s game between the No. 14 Florida State Seminoles (9-2) and the No. 10 Florida Gators (10-1) has the makings of a pivotal matchup. The ACC’s top rusher, Dalvin Cook (1,475 yards, 16 TDs), is a player to watch in this contest. It will begin Saturday, Nov 28 at 7:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESPN.
Florida beat Florida Atlantic 20-14 last week. Jake McGee had a solid outing in the win, registering three receptions for 36 yards and one TD. Antonio Callaway finished with 52 receiving yards and a TD on two receptions. Florida State managed to get the win as well, winning easily over Chattanooga 52-13. Kermit Whitfield had a big game for the Seminoles, totaling five receptions for 91 yards and two TDs. Dalvin Cook also had a big day, contributing 106 rushing yards and two TDs on 15 attempts.
Florida is a narrow three-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable.
The Gators enter the game with records of 10-1 Straight Up (SU) and 7-4 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Over their last five games, the Gators have records of 4-1 SU and 2-3 ATS. The Seminoles might have a difficult time running the ball against the eighth-best run defense in the nation. The Gators give up 109 rushing yards per game. A vital part of the game will be whether the Seminoles can protect their quarterback from Florida’s hungry defense. It averages the fourth-most sacks in the nation with 3.4 per game. Florida can top most teams in terms of time of possession. The Gators have an average time of possession of 33:53 per game for 11th-highest in the nation.
Across the field, the Seminoles have 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS records this season. In the previous five games, Florida State has a record of 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. Florida State’s defense ranks in the top half of the nation for rushing yards allowed and will look to bolster its statistics this week against the 105th-ranked rushing attack of the Gators, which only averages 137.4 yards on the ground per game. The pass rushers for the Seminoles have got to be excited about their matchup this week against the Gators, who rank 114th in the country with an average of three sacks allowed per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida
Notes
Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida’s last 7 games.
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Florida is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida’s last 5 games at home.
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games when playing Florida State.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida’s last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State.
Florida State is 9-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Florida is 8-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
The Florida offensive passing attack is ranked only 66th in the nation, while the Florida State pass defense is ranked 31st. The Seminoles passing game is ranked just 40th, compared to the 10th-ranked pass defense of the Gators.
