Southwest Division foes will lock horns when the Memphis Grizzlies (7-7) face the Dallas Mavericks (9-5) at the FedExForum. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Nov. 24 and can be seen on FSW, FxS and C+D.
The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after their 92-82 loss to the Spurs on Saturday. Mike Conley was the team’s leading scorer with 16 points. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their close 117-114 loss against the Thunder on Sunday. Deron Williams led the team in scoring with 20 points.
Marc Gasol and Conley have been better than usual over the last five games for the Grizzlies. During that stretch, Gasol has averaged 17.6 points, 7.2 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 1.4 steals, and 0.6 blocks, while Conley has recorded 19.0 points, 2.2 rebounds, 7.0 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.4 three-pointers a game. Williams has upped his play for the Mavericks. In the same five-game span, he is averaging 16.4 points, 4.0 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.0 three-pointers.
Ball control could weigh heavily in this showdown. Dallas commits the second-fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 13.0%), while Memphis’s disruptive defense forces the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 18.0%).
The Grizzlies are a three-point favorite against Dallas and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently unavailable. The Grizzlies come into this game 7-7 Straight Up (SU) and 6-8 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 5-6 SU and ATS against the Western Conference. The Grizzlies are one of the best in the NBA in terms of free throws made, making an impressive 21.0 per game. Not making mistakes with the ball is a staple of Memphis’s offense, which averages just 13.1 turnovers per game.
Over on the other bench, the Mavericks have 9-5 SU and ATS records. Dallas performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 7-3 record. The Dallas defense has been a problem for competitors, allowing only .312 shooting from three-point range to its opponents.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between the divisional foes. Their previous game was a Grizzlies victory, bumping their SU record to 6-4 over the Mavericks in their last 10 meetings. The Mavericks lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mem, ATS Winner – Dal
Notes
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis’s last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Memphis’s last 25 games at home.
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Memphis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis’s last 9 games when playing Dallas.
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas.
Memphis is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis’s last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas.
The Dallas Mavericks have a winning 2-1 SU record against the Southwest Division, while the Memphis Grizzlies have split their meetings with divisional opponents, 1-1.
Dallas ranks 10th in points per game with 102.2, while Memphis ranks 13th in points allowed with an average of 100.1 given up.
Memphis ranks 13th in points allowed per home game (99.2 PPG), while Dallas ranks seventh in points per away game with 103.6.
The Grizzlies have an even 3-3 record when they allow fewer than 100 points. When the Mavericks score fewer than 100 points, they are 2-3.
Memphis is a split 4-4 in contests where it gives up 100 or more points. Dallas is an exceptional 7-2 when it hits the century mark.
The Grizzlies have an offensive rating of 99.2 (ranked 25th). The Mavericks rank 10th for their defensive rating of 100.6.
Dallas beats Memphis in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Mavericks average 99.2 possessions and 1.030 points per possession, while the Grizzlies average 95.5 possessions with .992 points per possession.
Memphis has an average effective field goal percentage of 45.2%. Dallas is an even 5-5 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Memphis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.61 this season (ranked 10th). Dallas ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.69 (ranked sixth).
The Memphis Grizzlies are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 40.3 per game. The Dallas Mavericks average 43.6 rebounds (ranked 19th).
The Grizzlies and the Mavericks are well matched when it comes to rebounding. Memphis is ranked 29th in defensive rebounding, and Dallas is also ranked 29th in offensive rebounding.
Memphis’ defense forces its opponents to commit an average turnover percentage of 18.0%, ranked second in the league. In games where Dallas has a TOV% of 18.0% or higher, the team is undefeated (1-0).
