The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to Matthew Knight Arena to face off against the No. 21 Oregon Ducks. The game begins at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 25 and can be seen on PAC.
The Ducks come into this game hoping to repeat their last performance, topping Valparaiso 73-67 on Sunday. Dillon Brooks played a key role, recording 26 points and 13 rebounds to notch his first double-double of the season. The Red Wolves, meanwhile, are coming off a 78-69 win against Jackson State on Sunday. Donte Thomas shot 4 for 7 and led in scoring with 21 points.
Oregon is a substantial 20-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 149 points. The Ducks have gone 4-0 Straight Up (SU) and 1-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Opposing teams know they’re in for a battle when they play Oregon’s stingy defense. The Ducks are one of the top teams when it comes to defense, allowing just 61.2 points per game. Opposing offenses have been stifled by the Ducks, who allow a Division I-low field goal percentage of only .397.
On the other side, it’s hard to argue with the ATS failures of Arkansas State. The Red Wolves are clearly doing something wrong with a 0-1 record ATS to go along with a 2-2 record SU so far. The Red Wolves are a force on the boards, grabbing an average of 44.0 rebounds per game. The Arkansas State defense has been a problem for competitors, allowing only .348 shooting from the field to its opponents.
Oregon and Arkansas State will be facing off for their first head-to-head game in recent seasons.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – ArkSt, O/U – Over
Notes
Oregon is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
Oregon scores an average of just 76.0 points per game (ranked 162nd). Arkansas State ranks 83rd in points allowed, giving up 65.2 points per game.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have the nation’s top defense, with a defensive rating of 88.6. The Oregon Ducks have an offensive rating of 111.5 (ranked 115th).
The Arkansas State Red Wolves average 72.8 possessions per game and 1.044 points per possession. The Oregon Ducks earn fewer possessions with 68.2, but they score more points with 1.115.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves average an effective field goal percentage of 47.0% this season. The Oregon Ducks are a perfect 2-0 in games where opponents have an eFG% of 47.0% or greater.
The Oregon Ducks attempt 20.0 three pointers per game this season, while the Arkansas State Red Wolves attempt 15.0. When they register 20 or more three point attempts in a game, Oregon is undefeated (2-0) while Arkansas State is winless (0-1).
Arkansas State, the 42nd-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 44.0 rebounds per game. Oregon does worse, ranked 195th with 37.0.
Oregon makes an average of 7.2 steals per game. Arkansas State has not won a game when it has given up 7 or more steals this season (0-1).
