The Southwest Division’s top two teams will collide when the San Antonio Spurs (11-3) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (9-6) to the AT&T Center. Action begins at 8:30 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 25 and can be seen on FSW and SA2.
The Spurs enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Suns 98-84 on Monday. Kawhi Leonard played a pivotal role, recording his third double-double of the season with 24 points and 13 rebounds. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 110-96 loss against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. Dallas still lost despite the best efforts of Zaza Pachulia, who recorded his ninth double-double of the season with 13 points and 10 rebounds.
Tony Parker has taken his game to another level over the last five games for the Spurs. During that stretch, he has averaged 16.6 points, 1.8 rebounds, 6.4 assists, and 1.6 steals.
The Mavericks may not find many second-chance opportunities in this matchup. They’re ranked 30th in the league in offensive rebounding (offensive rebound percentage of 18.5%), whereas San Antonio is second-best in the NBA on the defensive glass (defensive rebound percentage of 80.2%).
This one isn’t expected to be close when the Spurs, a big nine-point favorite, take on the Mavericks. The Spurs have gone 11-3 Straight Up (SU) and 9-5 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS against the Western Conference. San Antonio is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.81. Opposing teams know they’re in for a battle when they play San Antonio’s stingy defense. The Spurs are the top team when it comes to defense, allowing a league-low 91.0 points per game. Teams usually don’t get many offensive rebounds against the Spurs, who are one of the top defensive rebounding teams in the league with an average of 36.7 defensive rebounds per game.
Over on the other bench, the Mavericks have 9-6 SU and ATS records. Dallas performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 7-3 record.
The divisional foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their previous head-to-head meeting, San Antonio came out on top, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. The Mavericks lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3.
Predictions: SU Winner – SA, ATS Winner – Dal
Notes
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 5 games at home.
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
San Antonio is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 5 games when playing Dallas.
San Antonio is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Dallas.
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas.
San Antonio scores an average of 100.2 points per game (ranked 18th), while Dallas gives up 101.1 points per game (ranked 14th).
Dallas averages a solid 102.8 points per away game this season. However, San Antonio is the top-ranked team in points allowed at home, giving up just 85.1 points per game.
Dallas is undefeated (7-0) when limiting opponents to fewer than 100 points. Still, San Antonio has a decent 6-2 record in games where it scores under 100.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Mavericks are just 2-6 this season. San Antonio is a superb 5-1 when registering triple digits.
The Spurs have the best defense in the NBA, with a defensive rating of 94.2. The Mavericks have an offensive rating of 102.3 (ranked 12th).
The San Antonio Spurs have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking second in the league with a FG% of 47.6%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Dallas Mavericks are winless with a 0-3 record.
The San Antonio Spurs, ranked third in the NBA, average 25.2 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks make 21.8 assists (ranked 14th)
San Antonio makes an average of 6.4 blocks per game (ranked fourth), while Dallas makes 3.9 blocks per game (ranked 25th).
San Antonio ranks 26th in offensive rebounds, while Dallas ranks fourth in defensive rebounds.
Dallas makes an average of 6.8 steals per game. San Antonio has an exceptional 10-2 record when it gives up at least 6 steals.