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Alabama State Hornets vs Chattanooga Mocs Preview and Prediction

This matchup between the Alabama State Hornets and Chattanooga Mocs will take place at The Arena at NW Florida St. The game starts at 12:00 pm ET on Friday, Nov. 27.

The Mocs are hoping for a better outcome after their 83-63 loss to Iowa State on Monday. Casey Jones was the team’s leading scorer, putting up 16 points. The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off an ugly 70-49 loss against Mercer on Thursday. Torloft Thomas had a game-high 16 points.

Chattanooga, a nine-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Alabama State. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 149 points. The Mocs have gone 3-1 Straight Up (SU) and 2-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Teams have to fight for open shots against the Mocs, who have the best opponent field-goal percentage in the country at .477. Chattanooga will look to take advantage of the Hornets and their propensity to foul. Alabama State ranks 334th in the nation in fouls, averaging 25.3 per game.

Alabama State’s defense has set the standard for nation, with opponents shooting a Division I-low .477 from the field.

This game marks the first time Chattanooga and Alabama State have played one another in recent seasons.

Predictions: SU Winner – Chat, ATS Winner – Chat, O/U – Over

Notes

Chattanooga averages 82.5 points per game (ranked 76th). Alabama State, on the other hand, allows 74.7 points per game (ranked 222nd).

The Alabama State Hornets have the nation’s top defense, with a defensive rating of 111.4. The Chattanooga Mocs have an offensive rating of 106.2 (ranked 170th).

On average, Chattanooga has 77.7 possessions per game and scores 1.062 points on each possession. Alabama State has both fewer possessions (68.7) and scores fewer points during those possessions (.990).

Alabama State has an average effective field goal percentage of 45.6%. Chattanooga is a winning 2-1 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, Chattanooga attempts 26.0 three pointers and Alabama State attempts 26.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Chattanooga Mocs have a winning 3-1 record while the Alabama State Hornets have a losing 1-2 record.

Chattanooga ranks 51st in blocks per game with 5.2 and Alabama State ranks 76th with 4.7 blocks per game.

Though Alabama State is one of the best in the country in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TO% of 19.4% (ranked first), Chattanooga has a winning 2-1 record SU when it has a TO% of 19.4% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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