The Baylor Bears (3-1) welcome the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-3) to Ferrell Center. Action starts at 1:00 pm ET on Friday, Nov. 27 and will air on FSN.
The Bears enter this game hoping for similar success after thoroughly outplaying Savannah State 100-61 on Monday. With 21 points and 10 rebounds, Johnathan Motley recorded his first double-double this season. The Red Wolves are coming off an ugly 91-68 loss against Oregon on Wednesday. Devin Carter had a team-high 22 points.
This one isn’t expected to be close when Baylor, a considerable 23-point favorite, takes on Arkansas State. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at 151 points. The Bears come into this game 3-1 Straight Up (SU), but 0-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Bears come into the game with the 39th-ranked scoring offense in the nation, averaging 85.2 points per game. Few teams in the nation have a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Baylor, which ranks 30th at 1.59. Crossing over to the defensive side of the court, the Baylor defense has been very good, only giving up 62.5 points per game. Teams have to fight for open shots against the Bears, who have the best opponent field-goal percentage in the country at .380.
On the other side, the Red Wolves have started the season poorly ATS with a 0-2 record to go along with a 2-3 SU record. Teams don’t seem to hit many three-pointers against the Red Wolves, who are the top team in the country in terms of three-point field goals allowed with 33 this season.
Baylor and Arkansas State have not played one another in a regular season matchup in recent years.
Predictions: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor, O/U – Over
Notes
Baylor is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
Baylor averages 85.2 points per game (ranked 39th). Arkansas State, on the other hand, allows 70.4 points per game (ranked 153rd).
Baylor scores 91.3 points per home game (ranked 46th). Arkansas State ranks a poor 258th in points allowed on the road, allowing 82.0 points.
Baylor won its last game by a 39-point margin. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, Arkansas State is 1-1. Baylor is 2-0 in blowouts this season.
The Baylor Bears have the nation’s top defense, with a defensive rating of 88.8. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have an offensive rating of 99.0 (ranked 268th).
Arkansas State has an average field goal percentage of 40.8%. Baylor is an even 1-1 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Baylor Bears and the Arkansas State Red Wolves both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Baylor is 52nd and 40th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Arkansas State ranks 304th and 268th in these categories.
Ranked fourth in the nation, Baylor has an average of 21.5 assists per game. Arkansas State ranks lower at 239th with 12.4.
Arkansas State, the 60th-ranked team in blocked shots, registers an average of 5.0 per game. Baylor does worse, ranked 260th with 2.5.
Arkansas State is one of the top defensive rebounding teams, ranking 14th. Baylor ranks 42nd in offensive rebounding.
Arkansas State makes 6.2 steals per game. When Baylor allows 6 or more steals, the team has an even 1-1 record.
